Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 12

Date: 28 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Orlando Scarpelli (Florianópolis)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping


	Figueirense		Guarani

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.75	2.90	2.40
	2.90	3.10	2.43	Watch
	2.73	3.2	2.64
	3.32	3.1	2.24	Watch
	2.6	3.1	2.6
	2.87	3.04	2.36
	2.6	2.95	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↓ (2.9)	3.06 ↓ (3.1)	2.45 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Figueirense
32.5%

Draw
30.1%

Guarani
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

29.9%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

29.9%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Figueirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Guarani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Figueirense than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarani than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Figueirense - Guarani Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Figueirense will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Guarani will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
52. Igo Gabriel (G) 6. Arthur Henrique 99. Emerson Galego 30. Jean Mangabeira 82. Jose Carlos 2. Leo Maia 3. Leonan Santos 9. Lucas Alves 37. Lucas Dias (C) 7. Raynan 5. Renan Areias	1. Caique Franca (C) 15. Carlos Eduardo 11. Guilherme Cachoeira 21. Isaque 10. Joao Paulo 9. Lucca 2. Mauricio Antonio 4. Raphael 26. Renan Castro 3. Willian Farias 30. Ynaia
Substitutes
11. Arthur Martins 77. Choco 12. Fabricio Santana (G) 35. Flavio 20. Guilherme Vieira 91. Hyuri 70. Igor Bolt 25. Jhonnathan 28. Rafinha Potiguar 66. Ryan Carlos 88. Silvinho 22. Vitor Ricardo	6. Emerson Barbosa 77. Guilherme Parede 27. Herbert 66. Kaua Jesus 19. Kewen 70. Mateus Claus (G) 5. Rafael Donato 45. Rafael Freitas 61. Ralf 22. Rian
Coaches
Raul Cabral	Sizenando E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Raphael 🟥,
45+1', Lucca ↓, Rafael Donato ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Isaque ↓, Kaua Jesus ↑,
57', Renan Areias ↓, Igor Bolt ↑,
62', Leonan Santos 🟨,
63', Carlos Eduardo 🟨,
66', 1 - 0, Jose Carlos ⚽,
73', Carlos Eduardo ↓, Emerson Barbosa ↑,
73', Joao Paulo ↓, Herbert ↑,
73', Guilherme Cachoeira ↓, Guilherme Parede ↑,
74', Raynan ↓, Flavio ↑,
74', Lucas Alves ↓, Silvinho ↑,
77', Emerson Barbosa 🟨,
83', 1 - 1, Ynaia ⚽,
84', Jose Carlos ↓, Arthur Martins ↑,
84', Emerson Galego ↓, Hyuri ↑,
87', 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Guarani may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Figueirense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Figueirense
Brazilian Serie C
20.06.26	Ituano - Figueirense	0:0 ✺
14.06.26	Floresta - Figueirense	1:2 ✺
31.05.26	Figueirense - Paysandu	2:1 ✺
24.05.26	Confiança - Figueirense	0:0 ✺
16.05.26	Figueirense - Itabaiana	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 TWWTL
- Guarani Futebol Clube
Brazilian Serie C
22.06.26	Confiança - Guarani	2:0 ✺
13.06.26	Guarani - Caxias	2:1 ✺
31.05.26	Guarani - Amazonas	5:0 ✺
23.05.26	Barra Santa Catarina - Guarani	0:2 ✺
17.05.26	Guarani - Ituano	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
26.05.25	Guarani - Figueirense	0:0

Figueirense - Guarani: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide