Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 14

Date: 26 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Domingão (Horizonte)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet+, Zapping


	Floresta		ABC

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.35	2.8	2.95
	2.38	2.62	3.2	Watch
	2.5	2.82	3.34
	2.91	2.58	2.91	Watch
	2.4	2.62	3
	2.44	2.6	3.28	Watch
	2.3	2.9	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.3)	2.71 ↓ (2.9)	3.1 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Floresta
36.9%

Draw
33.7%

ABC
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

31%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

31.6%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Floresta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ABC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Floresta than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ABC than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Floresta - ABC Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Floresta (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Floresta (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dalton (G) 17. Diego Matos 8. Guilherme Nunes 10. Gustavo Xuxa 31. Icaro (C) 9. Jeam 4. Julio Vaz 2. Mateus Ludke 28. Pablo 30. Romarinho 13. Thomas Kayck	12. Pedro Paulo (G) 8. Adeilson Maranhao 4. Bruno Bispo (C) 20. Jonatha Carlos 25. Juninho 6. Lucas Sampaio 13. Octavio 2. Patric 23. Richardson 11. Wallyson 19. Ytalo
Substitutes
22. Cesar (G) 16. Davi Castro 12. Dheimison (G) 25. Diogo Mourao 18. Guilherme Martineli 27. Gustavo Ramos 15. Igor Dutra 20. Marco Antonio 29. Rodrigo 14. Rodriguinho 19. Rubens 11. Thiaguinho	10. Anderson Rosa 17. Bruno Leite 1. Felipe Garcia (G) 21. Ian 9. Jenison 15. Joaozinho 16. Manoel 7. Matheus Martins 26. Matheus Rocha 5. Randerson 3. Rodolfo Filemon

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Julio Vaz 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Jeam ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', Guilherme Nunes 🟨,
53', Patric 🟨,
61', Jonatha Carlos ↓, Matheus Martins ↑,
61', Juninho ↓, Bruno Leite ↑,
62', Gustavo Xuxa ↓, Gustavo Ramos ↑,
70', Romarinho ↓, Guilherme Martineli ↑,
70', Jeam ↓, Rubens ↑,
78', Wallyson ↓, Anderson Rosa ↑,
79', Octavio ↓, Joaozinho ↑,
80', Guilherme Nunes ↓, Rodriguinho ↑,
80', Mateus Ludke ↓, Igor Dutra ↑,
83', Patric ↓, Jenison ↑,
90+4', Gustavo Ramos 🟥,
90+5', 1 - 1, Joaozinho ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 15).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Floresta won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Floresta EC
Brazilian Serie C
19.07.25	Ponte Preta - Floresta	2:1 ✺
12.07.25	Floresta - Ypiranga	2:1 ✺
05.07.25	Náutico Capibaribe - Floresta	0:0 ✺
30.06.25	Floresta - Brusque	2:1 ✺
16.06.25	CS Alagoano - Floresta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWTWL
- ABC FC
Brazilian Serie C
19.07.25	ABC - Maringá	3:3 ✺
12.07.25	Tombense - ABC	1:2 ✺
05.07.25	Confiança - ABC	1:1 ✺
29.06.25	ABC - Ypiranga	0:3 ✺
14.06.25	Ponte Preta - ABC	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
02.06.24	ABC - Floresta	1:0
23.07.22	ABC - Floresta	2:0

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