Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 15

Date: 2 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Maria Lamas Farache (Natal)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet+, Zapping


	ABC		Figueirense

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	2.6	3.4
	1.72	2.95	4.9	Watch
	1.83	3.15	5.28
	1.86	2.75	5.70	Watch
	2.3	2.62	3.3
	1.7	3.13	5.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (1.99)	2.87 ↑ (2.81)	4.64 ↑ (4.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ABC
47.7%

Draw
32.3%

Figueirense
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

32.3%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

31.3%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ABC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Figueirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ABC than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Figueirense than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	37.5%	37.5%

ABC - Figueirense Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. ABC will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Figueirense will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Figueirense: 4% – 71%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0, 1st Half - Figueirense (3.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): ABC will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. ABC (votes: 3 - 75%). Figueirense (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Pedro Paulo (G) 8. Adeilson Maranhao 10. Anderson Rosa 4. Bruno Bispo (C) 9. Joaozinho 6. Lucas Sampaio 13. Octavio 2. Patric 23. Richardson 11. Wallyson 19. Ytalo	52. Igo Gabriel (G) 90. Felipe Augusto 10. Gabriel Santiago 92. Iury 33. Jhony Douglas 8. Joao Lucas 4. Ligger 37. Lucas Dias 16. Matheus Mascarenhas 7. Nicolas 28. Rafinha Potiguar
Substitutes
17. Bruno Leite 7. Carlos Eduardo 1. Felipe Garcia (G) 21. Ian 18. Jenison 20. Jonatha Carlos 25. Juninho 15. Lucas Mota 16. Manoel 26. Matheus Rocha 5. Randerson 3. Rodolfo Filemon	26. Douglas Bacelar 12. Fabricio Santana (G) 35. Flavio 91. Hyuri 2. Leo Maia 11. Marlyson 99. Rafael Longuine 20. Ramon Vinicius 79. Reifit 17. Wellington Nem 66. Wesley Costa
Coaches
Rodrigo Santana	Pintado

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Adeilson Maranhao 🟨,
34', Ytalo ↓, Jenison ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Anderson Rosa ↓, Matheus Rocha ↑,
63', Joaozinho ↓, Bruno Leite ↑,
68', Bruno Leite 🟨,
69', Joao Lucas ↓, Reifit ↑,
74', Rafinha Potiguar ↓, Flavio ↑,
74', Nicolas ↓, Marlyson ↑,
78', Wallyson 🟨,
80', Gabriel Santiago ↓, Rafael Longuine ↑,
81', Felipe Augusto ↓, Hyuri ↑,
82', Marlyson 🟨,
85', Wallyson ↓, Juninho ↑,
85', Lucas Sampaio ↓, Manoel ↑,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 15 and 16)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ABC won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

ABC might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, ABC won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, ABC won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 2.3:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

ABC - the odds 1.99 are the expected chance of winning is 45.62%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ABC FC
Brazilian Serie C
26.07.25	Floresta - ABC	1:1 ✺
19.07.25	ABC - Maringá	3:3 ✺
12.07.25	Tombense - ABC	1:2 ✺
05.07.25	Confiança - ABC	1:1 ✺
29.06.25	ABC - Ypiranga	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TTWTL
- Figueirense
Brazilian Serie C
27.07.25	Figueirense - Anápolis	1:2 ✺
20.07.25	CS Alagoano - Figueirense	1:1 ✺
13.07.25	Figueirense - Náutico Capibaribe	0:0 ✺
06.07.25	Brusque - Figueirense	0:2 ✺
29.06.25	Figueirense - Confiança	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
08.06.24	Figueirense - ABC	1:1
24.09.22	Figueirense - ABC	0:0
20.08.22	ABC - Figueirense	2:1
13.08.22	Figueirense - ABC	2:1
Brazilian Serie B
23.09.17	Figueirense - ABC	2:0
10.06.17	ABC - Figueirense	2:2
12.11.13	Figueirense - ABC	2:0

ABC - Figueirense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide