Match Info

ITALY: Serie A - Round 5

Date: 21 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadio Pierluigi Penzo (Venice)

Referee: Marchetti M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Football
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Croatia	Arena Sport 4
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Italy	DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Malta	TSN Malta 3
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 5, Ziggo Sport
Norway	VG+
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Romania	Prima Sport 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Tanzania	Azam Sports 4
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
Usa	Paramount+
World	Disney+


	Venezia		Genoa

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.1	2.55	Watch
	2.87	3.2	2.55
	2.9	3.15	2.55	Watch
	3.05	3.19	2.61
	2.96	3.2	2.6	Watch
	2.9	3.25	2.5
	3	3.4	2.58	Watch
	2.95	3.2	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↓ (3.13)	3.21 ↓ (3.3)	2.57 ↑ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Venezia
32.7%

Draw
29.9%

Genoa
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

29%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

29%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Venezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Genoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	27.3%	63.6%

Venezia - Genoa Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Venezia will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). Genoa will win (votes: 13 - 61.9%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Genoa: 41.1% – 82.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Joronen J. (G) 27. Candela A. 4. Idzes J. 30. Svoboda M. 7. Zampano F. (C) 6. Busio G. 38. Andersen M. K. 77. Ellertsson M. E. 5. Haps R. 11. Oristanio G. 20. Pohjanpalo J.	95. Gollini P. (G) 4. De Winter K. 13. Bani M. 22. Vasquez J. 20. Sabelli S. 32. Frendrup M. 47. Badelj M. (C) 17. Malinovsky R. 3. Martin A. 9. Vitinha 18. Ekuban C.
Substitutes
12. Bruno (G) 79. Carboni F. 22. Crnigoj D. 97. Doumbia I. 80. El Haddad S. 23. Grandi M. (G) 9. Gytkjaer C. 45. Raimondo A. 21. Sagrado R. 25. Schingtienne J. 35. Stankovic F. (G) 33. Sverko M. 10. Yeboah J.	55. Accornero F. 69. Ahanor H. 8. Bohinen E. 21. Ekhator J. 53. Kasa L. 1. Leali N. (G) 27. Marcandalli A. 73. Masini P. 33. Matturro A. 19. Pinamonti A. 39. Sommariva D. (G) 2. Thorsby M. 14. Vogliacco A. 59. Zanoli A.
Coaches
Di Francesco E.	Gilardino A.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Venezia won 1.

Venezia has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Genoa is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Venezia have a series of guest games.

Recently Genoa have a series of home games.

Genoa will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Venezia: Bjarkason B. (Hernia) Nicolussi Caviglia H. (Red Card)

There will not play in Genoa: Ankeye D. (Illness) Messias J. (Muscle Injury) Miretti F. (Broken Leg) Norton-Cuffy B. (Injury) Zanoli A. (Thigh Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Venezia won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Venezia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Venezia FC
Italian Serie A
14.09.24	Milan - Venezia	4:0 ✺
30.08.24	Venezia - Torino	0:1 ✺
25.08.24	Fiorentina - Venezia	0:0 ✺
18.08.24	Lazio - Venezia	3:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
11.08.24	Brescia - Venezia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLTLL
- Genoa CFC
Italian Serie A
15.09.24	Genoa - Roma	1:1 ✺
01.09.24	Genoa - Verona	0:2 ✺
24.08.24	Monza - Genoa	0:1 ✺
17.08.24	Genoa - Inter Milan	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
09.08.24	Genoa - Reggiana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
20.07.24	Venezia - Genoa	1:3
22.07.23	Genoa - Venezia	1:4
Italian Serie B
16.01.23	Genoa - Venezia	1:0
14.08.22	Venezia - Genoa	1:2
Italian Serie A
20.02.22	Venezia - Genoa	1:1
31.10.21	Genoa - Venezia	0:0

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