Match Info

EUROPE: Europa Conference League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 April 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Artemio Franchi (Florence) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Manzano J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport
Australia	02:45	Stan Sport
Austria	18:45	Sky Sport
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:45	Arena Sport
Brazil	13:45	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	19:45	Max Sport 3
Croatia	18:45	Arena Sport
Denmark	18:45	TV2 Sport X
Finland	19:45	Viaplay
Germany	18:45	Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top event
Italy	18:45	Sky Sport, Sky Sport Uno
Netherlands	18:45	ESPN
Norway	18:45	Viaplay, V Sport
Poland	18:45	Viaplay
Portugal	17:45	Sport TV2
Serbia	18:45	Arena Sport
Sweden	18:45	Viaplay
United Kingdom	17:45	TNT Sports


	Fiorentina		Viktoria Plzeň

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.5	8
	1.4	4.6	8.25
	1.39	4.7	8.8	Watch
	1.41	4.54	9.19
	1.42	4.54	8.93
	1.4	4.6	8.3
	1.41	4.8	8.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.5)	4.61 ↑ (4.13)	8.61 ↑ (6.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fiorentina
68.1%

Draw
20.7%

Viktoria Plzeň
11.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62.9%

22.8%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

24.2%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fiorentina's performance.

Viktoria Plzeň has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viktoria Plzeň than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.3%	10.3%	10.3%

Fiorentina - Viktoria Plzeň Predictions

Users Predictions: Fiorentina will win (23 of 29 users predict this - 79.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.57% – 94.05%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Terracciano P. (G) 2. Dodo 4. Milenkovic N. 16. Ranieri L. 3. Biraghi C. (C) 6. Arthur Melo 38. Mandragora R. 10. Gonzalez N. 9. Beltran L. 99. Kouame C. 20. Belotti A.	16. Jedlicka M. (G) 3. Hranac R. 2. Hejda L. (C) 21. Jemelka V. 10. Kopic J. 6. Cerv L. 23. Kalvach L. 22. Cadu 31. Sulc P. 15. Chory T. 11. Vydra M.
Substitutes
72. Barak A. 53. Christensen O. (G) 37. Comuzzo P. 32. Duncan A. 22. Faraoni D. 11. Ikone J. 19. Infantino G. 33. Kayode M. 8. Lopez M. 28. Martinez Quarta L. 65. Parisi F. 7. Sottil R.	30. Baier V. (G) 40. Dweh S. 9. Kliment J. 18. Mosquera J. 5. Paluska J. 14. Reznik R. 12. Traore I. 13. Tvrdon M. (G)
Coaches
Italiano V.	Koubek M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Ranieri L. 🟨,
37', Chory T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Vydra M. ↓, Kliment J. ↑,
66', Arthur Melo ↓, Lopez M. ↑,
66', Cadu 🟥,
70', Chory T. ↓, Reznik R. ↑,
74', Reznik R. 🟨,
75', Beltran L. ↓, Barak A. ↑,
88', Dodo ↓, Faraoni D. ↑,
88', Belotti A. ↓, Ikone J. ↑,
90+5', Cerv L. ↓, Traore I. ↑,
Extra Time (2 - 0)
91', Mandragora R. ↓, Martinez Quarta L. ↑,
92', 1 - 0, Gonzalez N. ⚽,
93', Gonzalez N. 🟨,
98', Gonzalez N. ↓, Sottil R. ↑,
101', Kalvach L. ↓, Dweh S. ↑,
106', Kopic J. ↓, Mosquera J. ↑,
108', 2 - 0, Biraghi C. ⚽, Ikone J. (A),

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-0.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Plzeň could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Fiorentina is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Fiorentina: Nzola M. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Plzeň: Durosinmi R. (Surgery) Sykora J. (Knee Injury) Valenta M. (Knee Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Fiorentina won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fiorentina
Italian Serie A
15.04.24	Fiorentina - Genoa	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
11.04.24	Viktoria Plzeň - Fiorentina	0:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
07.04.24	Juventus - Fiorentina	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
03.04.24	Fiorentina - Atalanta	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
30.03.24	Fiorentina - Milan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TTLWL
- Viktoria Plzeň
Czech 1 Liga
14.04.24	Viktoria Plzeň - Slavia Prague	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
11.04.24	Viktoria Plzeň - Fiorentina	0:0 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
06.04.24	Karviná - Viktoria Plzeň	0:0 ✺
Czech Cup
02.04.24	Jablonec - Viktoria Plzeň	0:3 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
30.03.24	Viktoria Plzeň - Slovan Liberec	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
11.04.24	Viktoria Plzeň - Fiorentina	0:0

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