Match Info

Serie A - Round 36

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Artemio Franchi (Florence)

Referee: Massimi L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Fiorentina		Genoa

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.5	4.2	Watch
	2	3.3	3.75
	1.98	3.35	3.95	Watch
	1.97	3.53	4.33
	1.96	3.3	4.25	Watch
	1.91	3.25	4
	1.96	3.52	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.04)	3.39 ↑ (3.33)	4.14 ↑ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fiorentina
48.8%

Draw
28.1%

Genoa
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

28.3%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

27.7%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Genoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.4%	50%	3.6%

Fiorentina - Genoa Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 13 - 46.4%). Genoa will win (votes: 1 - 3.6%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 31.5% – 68.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Fiorentina (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Fiorentina (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Fiorentina (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
43. de Gea D. (C) 2. Dodo 5. Pongracic M. 6. Ranieri L. 21. Gosens R. 8. Mandragora R. 44. Fagioli N. 27. Ndour C. 65. Parisi F. 61. Braschi R. 19. Solomon M.	16. Bijlow J. (G) 27. Marcandalli A. 5. Ostigard L. 13. Zatterstrom N. 3. Martin A. 4. Amorim 32. Frendrup M. (C) 77. Ellertsson M. E. 21. Ekhator J. 9. Vitinha 29. Colombo L.
Substitutes
62. Balbo L. 4. Brescianini M. 53. Christensen O. (G) 15. Comuzzo P. 80. Fabbian G. 22. Fazzini J. 29. Fortini N. 10. Gudmundsson A. 17. Harrison J. 23. Kospo E. 60. Kouadio E. 1. Lezzerini L. (G) 91. Piccoli R. 3. Rugani D.	74. Doucoure M. 18. Ekuban C. 80. Grossi J. 1. Leali N. (G) 17. Malinovskyi R. 73. Masini P. 14. Onana J. 99. Ouedraogo W. L. 20. Sabelli S. 39. Sommariva D. (G) 22. Vasquez J.
Coaches
Vanoli P.	De Rossi D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Colombo L. ↓, Ekuban C. ↑,
61', Braschi R. ↓, Piccoli R. ↑,
71', Ekhator J. ↓, Malinovskyi R. ↑,
71', Martin A. ↓, Ouedraogo W. L. ↑,
72', Mandragora R. ↓, Brescianini M. ↑,
73', Ndour C. ↓, Fabbian G. ↑,
82', Marcandalli A. ↓, Doucoure M. ↑,
82', Amorim ↓, Masini P. ↑,
86', Parisi F. ↓, Gudmundsson A. ↑,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 16 and 14)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Genoa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Fiorentina could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Fiorentina: Lamptey T. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Genoa: Junior Messias (Muscle Injury) Norton-Cuffy B. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Fiorentina: Balbo L. (Injury) Fortini N. (Back Injury) Kean M. (Calf Injury) Piccoli R. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Genoa: Baldanzi T. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 7 matches, drew 11 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 29:17. (average 1.5:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Fiorentina won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:6. (average 1.6:0.7).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Fiorentina: 0.35% Genoa: 0.14%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	6:12	-6	4
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	3:10	-7	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fiorentina
Italian Serie A
04.05.26	Roma - Fiorentina	4:0 ✺
26.04.26	Fiorentina - Sassuolo	0:0 ✺
20.04.26	Lecce - Fiorentina	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
16.04.26	Fiorentina - Crystal Palace	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
13.04.26	Fiorentina - Lazio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LTTWW
- Genoa CFC
Italian Serie A
02.05.26	Atalanta - Genoa	0:0 ✺
26.04.26	Genoa - Como	0:2 ✺
19.04.26	Pisa - Genoa	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Genoa - Sassuolo	2:1 ✺
06.04.26	Juventus - Genoa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
09.11.25	Genoa - Fiorentina	2:2
02.02.25	Fiorentina - Genoa	2:1
31.10.24	Genoa - Fiorentina	0:1
15.04.24	Fiorentina - Genoa	1:1
19.08.23	Genoa - Fiorentina	1:4
17.01.22	Fiorentina - Genoa	6:0
18.09.21	Genoa - Fiorentina	1:2

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