Match Info

Serie A - Round 36

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Artemio Franchi (Florence) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Massimi L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 2
Albania	15:00	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	10:00	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	17:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	23:00	beIN Connect
Austria	15:00	DAZN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:00	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	10:00	Disney+
Canada	09:00	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV
Chile	09:00	Disney+
China	21:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	08:00	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	15:00	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	15:00	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	15:00	TV2 Play
Finland	16:00	MTV Katsomo+
France	15:00	DAZN France
Germany	15:00	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	16:00	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong Kong	21:00	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Indonesia	20:00	Vidio
Italy	15:00	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 2, DAZN Italia
Japan	22:00	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	15:00	ART Sport 4
Kuwait	16:00	Shasha
Malaysia	21:00	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	15:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	07:00	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	15:00	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 3, Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	01:00	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	15:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	15:00	VG+
Peru	08:00	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	15:00	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	14:00	Sport TV1, Sport TV2
Romania	16:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	16:00	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	16:00	STC TV
Serbia	15:00	Arena Sport 2
Slovakia	15:00	Sport 1, Voyo
South Africa	15:00	SuperSport Football
South Korea	22:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	15:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:00	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 4
Switzerland	15:00	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	20:00	True ID, True Premier Football 4
Tunisia	14:00	Diwan Sport
Turkey	16:00	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	16:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United Kingdom	14:00	DAZN
Uruguay	10:00	Disney+
Usa	09:00	Paramount+
Venezuela	09:00	Disney+
Vietnam	20:00	TV 360, VTVcab
International	13:00	Starzplay Sports app


	Fiorentina		Genoa

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.5	4.2	Watch
	2	3.3	3.75
	1.98	3.35	3.95	Watch
	1.97	3.53	4.33
	1.96	3.3	4.25	Watch
	1.91	3.25	4
	1.96	3.52	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.04)	3.39 ↑ (3.33)	4.14 ↑ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fiorentina
48.8%

Draw
28.1%

Genoa
23.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.4%

28.3%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

27.8%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Genoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.4%	50%	3.6%

Fiorentina - Genoa Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 13 - 46.4%). Genoa will win (votes: 1 - 3.6%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 31.5% – 68.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Fiorentina (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Fiorentina (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Fiorentina (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
43. de Gea D. (C) 2. Dodo 5. Pongracic M. 6. Ranieri L. 21. Gosens R. 8. Mandragora R. 44. Fagioli N. 27. Ndour C. 65. Parisi F. 61. Braschi R. 19. Solomon M.	16. Bijlow J. (G) 27. Marcandalli A. 5. Ostigard L. 13. Zatterstrom N. 3. Martin A. 4. Amorim 32. Frendrup M. (C) 77. Ellertsson M. E. 21. Ekhator J. 9. Vitinha 29. Colombo L.
Substitutes
62. Balbo L. 4. Brescianini M. 53. Christensen O. (G) 15. Comuzzo P. 80. Fabbian G. 22. Fazzini J. 29. Fortini N. 10. Gudmundsson A. 17. Harrison J. 23. Kospo E. 60. Kouadio E. 1. Lezzerini L. (G) 91. Piccoli R. 3. Rugani D.	74. Doucoure M. 18. Ekuban C. 80. Grossi J. 1. Leali N. (G) 17. Malinovskyi R. 73. Masini P. 14. Onana J. 99. Ouedraogo W. L. 20. Sabelli S. 39. Sommariva D. (G) 22. Vasquez J.
Coaches
Vanoli P.	De Rossi D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Colombo L. ↓, Ekuban C. ↑,
61', Braschi R. ↓, Piccoli R. ↑,
71', Ekhator J. ↓, Malinovskyi R. ↑,
71', Martin A. ↓, Ouedraogo W. L. ↑,
72', Mandragora R. ↓, Brescianini M. ↑,
73', Ndour C. ↓, Fabbian G. ↑,
82', Marcandalli A. ↓, Doucoure M. ↑,
82', Amorim ↓, Masini P. ↑,
86', Parisi F. ↓, Gudmundsson A. ↑,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 16 and 14)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Genoa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Fiorentina could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Fiorentina: Lamptey T. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Genoa: Junior Messias (Muscle Injury) Norton-Cuffy B. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Fiorentina: Balbo L. (Injury) Fortini N. (Back Injury) Kean M. (Calf Injury) Piccoli R. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Genoa: Baldanzi T. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 7 matches, drew 11 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 29:17. (average 1.5:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Fiorentina won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:6. (average 1.6:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Genoa	9	3	1	5	8:13	-5	10
18	Fiorentina	9	1	2	6	11:21	-10	5

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Genoa: 0.06% Fiorentina: 0.05%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fiorentina
Italian Serie A
04.05.26	Roma - Fiorentina	4:0 ✺
26.04.26	Fiorentina - Sassuolo	0:0 ✺
20.04.26	Lecce - Fiorentina	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
16.04.26	Fiorentina - Crystal Palace	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
13.04.26	Fiorentina - Lazio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LTTWW
- Genoa CFC
Italian Serie A
02.05.26	Atalanta - Genoa	0:0 ✺
26.04.26	Genoa - Como	0:2 ✺
19.04.26	Pisa - Genoa	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Genoa - Sassuolo	2:1 ✺
06.04.26	Juventus - Genoa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
09.11.25	Genoa - Fiorentina	2:2
02.02.25	Fiorentina - Genoa	2:1
31.10.24	Genoa - Fiorentina	0:1
15.04.24	Fiorentina - Genoa	1:1
19.08.23	Genoa - Fiorentina	1:4
17.01.22	Fiorentina - Genoa	6:0
18.09.21	Genoa - Fiorentina	1:2

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