Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 24

Date: 28 January 2023, Saturday


	Fiorenzuola		Imolese

	1	X	2
	1.93	2.9	3.8
	2	2.8	3.85
	1.95	2.8	3.85
	1.91	2.92	4.41
	1.95	2.88	4
	1.92	3.05	4.2	Watch
	1.97	2.95	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.73)	2.9 (2.9)	4 ↓ (5.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fiorenzuola
46.3%

Draw
31.1%

Imolese
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

30.9%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

18.7%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorenzuola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fiorenzuola's form might have worsened.

Imolese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Imolese's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorenzuola than the current prediction. (-15%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fiorenzuola that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Imolese than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Imolese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Fiorenzuola - Imolese Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Fiorenzuola will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Imolese will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Fiorenzuola is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Imolese has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Fiorenzuola will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Fiorenzuola won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Fiorenzuola won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Fiorenzuola 1922
Italian Serie C Group B
22.01.23	Lucchese - Fiorenzuola	0:1 ✺
15.01.23	Fiorenzuola - Ancona	0:1 ✺
08.01.23	Fiorenzuola - Vis Pesaro	0:3 ✺
23.12.22	Fermana - Fiorenzuola	4:2 ✺
17.12.22	Fiorenzuola - San Donato Tavarnelle	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLLLL
- Imolese Calcio 1919
Italian Serie C Group B
22.01.23	Imolese - Sassari Torres	0:1 ✺
15.01.23	Siena - Imolese	1:0 ✺
08.01.23	Imolese - Lucchese	0:2 ✺
23.12.22	Alessandria - Imolese	2:0 ✺
17.12.22	Imolese - Reggiana	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
24.09.22	Imolese - Fiorenzuola	0:2
Italian Serie D - Group D
24.03.18	Imolese - Fiorenzuola	3:1
05.11.17	Fiorenzuola - Imolese	4:1
18.09.16	Imolese - Fiorenzuola	4:0

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