Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 19

Date: 17 December 2022, Saturday


	Fiorenzuola		San Donato Tavarnelle

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	3.3	Watch
	2.18	2.95	3.2
	1.98	3.05	3.45
	1.97	3.1	3.94
	2	3	3.6
	1.91	3.24	3.84	Watch
	2.02	3.15	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.74)	3.08 ↑ (3.05)	3.54 ↓ (4.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fiorenzuola
45.1%

Draw
29.4%

San Donato Tavarnelle
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

29.1%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

27.7%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorenzuola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fiorenzuola's form might have worsened.

San Donato Tavarnelle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Donato Tavarnelle's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorenzuola than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fiorenzuola, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Donato Tavarnelle than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Donato Tavarnelle, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.7%	6.7%	46.7%

Fiorenzuola - San Donato Tavarnelle Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Fiorenzuola will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). San Donato will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorenzuola: 21.5% – 71.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 20 in the zone Relegation).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Fiorenzuola will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Fiorenzuola won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Fiorenzuola won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Fiorenzuola 1922
Italian Serie C Group B
10.12.22	Siena - Fiorenzuola	1:1 ✺
03.12.22	Fiorenzuola - Rimini	2:1 ✺
29.11.22	Sassari Torres - Fiorenzuola	0:1 ✺
26.11.22	Fiorenzuola - Alessandria	0:0 ✺
20.11.22	Pontedera - Fiorenzuola	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TWWTL
- San Donato Tavarnelle
Italian Serie C Group B
10.12.22	San Donato Tavarnelle - Imolese	0:0 ✺
03.12.22	Cesena - San Donato Tavarnelle	3:2 ✺
29.11.22	San Donato Tavarnelle - Montevarchi	3:1 ✺
26.11.22	Gubbio - San Donato Tavarnelle	1:0 ✺
20.11.22	San Donato Tavarnelle - Virtus Entella	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
09.04.17	San Donato Tavarnelle - Fiorenzuola	1:2
27.11.16	Fiorenzuola - San Donato Tavarnelle	1:3

Fiorenzuola - San Donato Tavarnelle: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide