Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 20

Date: 23 December 2022, Friday

Location: Stadio Bruno Recchioni (Fermo)


	Fermana		Fiorenzuola

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.85	3.1	Watch
	2.2	2.7	3.5
	2.2	2.75	3.35
	2.2	2.75	3.65
	2.2	2.75	3.4
	2.18	2.93	3.42	Watch
	2.2	2.85	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.46)	2.8 ↑ (2.75)	3.4 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fermana
41.1%

Draw
32.3%

Fiorenzuola
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

33.7%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fermana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fermana's performance.

Fiorenzuola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fiorenzuola might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fermana than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorenzuola than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	45.5%	54.5%

Fermana - Fiorenzuola Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Fiorenzuola will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorenzuola: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 13 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Fermana won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Fermana
Italian Serie C Group B
17.12.22	Fermana - Sassari Torres	1:0 ✺
10.12.22	Pontedera - Fermana	2:1 ✺
03.12.22	Fermana - Reggiana	0:3 ✺
29.11.22	Siena - Fermana	2:3 ✺
26.11.22	Fermana - Lucchese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WLLWW
- US Fiorenzuola 1922
Italian Serie C Group B
17.12.22	Fiorenzuola - San Donato Tavarnelle	1:2 ✺
10.12.22	Siena - Fiorenzuola	1:1 ✺
03.12.22	Fiorenzuola - Rimini	2:1 ✺
29.11.22	Sassari Torres - Fiorenzuola	0:1 ✺
26.11.22	Fiorenzuola - Alessandria	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
04.09.22	Fiorenzuola - Fermana	1:0

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