Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 22

Date: 15 January 2023, Sunday


	Fiorenzuola		Ancona

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.95	2.35	Watch
	2.85	2.75	2.55
	2.8	2.8	2.39
	3.09	2.76	2.21
	3.1	2.8	2.3
	3.1	2.93	2.33	Watch
	2.8	3	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.2)	2.86 ↓ (2.88)	2.37 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fiorenzuola
30.7%

Draw
31.4%

Ancona
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

31.3%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

31%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorenzuola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fiorenzuola's form might have worsened.

Ancona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ancona's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorenzuola than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fiorenzuola, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ancona than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ancona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Fiorenzuola - Ancona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Fiorenzuola is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ancona is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Fiorenzuola won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Fiorenzuola 1922
Italian Serie C Group B
08.01.23	Fiorenzuola - Vis Pesaro	0:3 ✺
23.12.22	Fermana - Fiorenzuola	4:2 ✺
17.12.22	Fiorenzuola - San Donato Tavarnelle	1:2 ✺
10.12.22	Siena - Fiorenzuola	1:1 ✺
03.12.22	Fiorenzuola - Rimini	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLLTW
- US Ancona 1905
Italian Serie C Group B
09.01.23	Ancona - Pontedera	3:0 ✺
23.12.22	Siena - Ancona	0:0 ✺
17.12.22	Ancona - Recanatese	4:0 ✺
10.12.22	Rimini - Ancona	2:1 ✺
03.12.22	Ancona - Alessandria	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
14.09.22	Ancona - Fiorenzuola	2:0

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