Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 20

Date: 23 December 2022, Friday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta (Alessandria)


	Alessandria		Imolese

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	2.9	Watch
	2.17	2.75	3.45
	2.19	2.85	3.05
	2.16	3.03	3.34
	2.2	2.88	3.2
	2.12	3.16	3.28	Watch
	2.22	3.05	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.2)	2.96 ↑ (2.88)	3.19 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alessandria
41.3%

Draw
30.4%

Imolese
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

31.3%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

26%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alessandria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Imolese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alessandria than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alessandria that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Imolese than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Imolese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	50%	21.4%

Alessandria - Imolese Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Alessandria will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Imolese will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 14).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Alessandria will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alessandria won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alessandria 1912
Italian Serie C Group B
17.12.22	Cesena - Alessandria	3:1 ✺
10.12.22	Alessandria - Montevarchi	2:2 ✺
03.12.22	Ancona - Alessandria	3:0 ✺
29.11.22	Alessandria - Olbia	1:1 ✺
26.11.22	Fiorenzuola - Alessandria	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTLTT
- Imolese Calcio 1919
Italian Serie C Group B
17.12.22	Imolese - Reggiana	0:1 ✺
10.12.22	San Donato Tavarnelle - Imolese	0:0 ✺
03.12.22	Imolese - Vis Pesaro	0:0 ✺
29.11.22	Rimini - Imolese	3:1 ✺
26.11.22	Imolese - Pontedera	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
04.09.22	Imolese - Alessandria	1:0

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