Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 23

Date: 22 January 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Lucchese		Fiorenzuola

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	3
	2.17	3.25	2.9
	2.22	2.9	3
	2.1	3.08	2.97
	2.1	3	3.2
	2.22	3.08	3.14	Watch
	2.24	3.1	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.5)	3.06 ↑ (2.8)	3.04 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucchese
41.3%

Draw
29.2%

Fiorenzuola
29.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.9%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucchese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lucchese's performance.

Fiorenzuola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorenzuola than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Lucchese - Fiorenzuola Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Lucchese will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lucchese: 64.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Recent matches Lucchese is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fiorenzuola has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Lucchese will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Lucchese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Lucchese Libertas 1905
Italian Serie C Group B
15.01.23	Pontedera - Lucchese	0:0 ✺
08.01.23	Imolese - Lucchese	0:2 ✺
23.12.22	Lucchese - Reggiana	0:1 ✺
17.12.22	Olbia - Lucchese	1:1 ✺
10.12.22	Lucchese - Carrarese	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TWLTW
- US Fiorenzuola 1922
Italian Serie C Group B
15.01.23	Fiorenzuola - Ancona	0:1 ✺
08.01.23	Fiorenzuola - Vis Pesaro	0:3 ✺
23.12.22	Fermana - Fiorenzuola	4:2 ✺
17.12.22	Fiorenzuola - San Donato Tavarnelle	1:2 ✺
10.12.22	Siena - Fiorenzuola	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia Serie C
05.10.22	Fiorenzuola - Lucchese	0:1 penalties
Italian Serie C Group B
18.09.22	Fiorenzuola - Lucchese	1:0

Lucchese - Fiorenzuola