Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 11

Date: 29 October 2022, Saturday


	Fiorenzuola		Virtus Entella

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.1
	3.1	2.95	2.23
	3.1	2.95	2.14
	3.19	2.95	2.27
	3.1	3	2.2
	3.14	3.05	2.24	Watch
	3.2	3.2	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (2.75)	3.03 ↑ (2.75)	2.2 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fiorenzuola
29%

Draw
29.9%

Virtus Entella
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorenzuola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Virtus Entella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Virtus Entella's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorenzuola than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Virtus Entella, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Fiorenzuola - Virtus Entella Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Fiorenzuola will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Virtus Entella will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Virtus Entella: 68.4% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Recent matches Fiorenzuola is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Virtus Entella in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Virtus Entella will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Fiorenzuola won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Fiorenzuola 1922
Italian Serie C Group B
23.10.22	Cesena - Fiorenzuola	2:1 ✺
19.10.22	Fiorenzuola - Gubbio	0:1 ✺
16.10.22	Fiorenzuola - Montevarchi	1:0 ✺
09.10.22	Olbia - Fiorenzuola	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
05.10.22	Fiorenzuola - Lucchese	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLWWL
- Virtus Entella
Italian Serie C Group B
23.10.22	Virtus Entella - Ancona	3:2 ✺
19.10.22	Montevarchi - Virtus Entella	1:2 ✺
16.10.22	Virtus Entella - Olbia	2:1 ✺
09.10.22	Fermana - Virtus Entella	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
05.10.22	Virtus Entella - Carrarese	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia Serie C
21.08.21	Virtus Entella - Fiorenzuola	1:0

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