Match Info

Serie B - Round 38

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday

Location: Stadio Comunale (Chiavari)

Referee: Fabbri M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Virtus Entella		Carrarese

	1	X	2
	1.76	3.4	4.5	Watch
	1.72	3.6	4.6
	1.78	3.45	4.35	Watch
	1.86	3.55	4.65
	1.78	3.49	4.64	Watch
	1.75	3.5	4.2
	1.79	3.54	4.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.73)	3.5 ↑ (3.49)	4.48 ↓ (4.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Entella
52.5%

Draw
26.6%

Carrarese
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

26.8%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

26%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Entella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Carrarese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	27.3%	0%

Virtus Entella - Carrarese Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Virtus Entella will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Virtus Entella: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Virtus Entella (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Del Frate F. (G) 23. Parodi L. (C) 6. Tiritiello A. 15. Marconi I. 7. Bariti D. 24. Franzoni A. 5. Squizzato N. 8. Karic N. 26. Di Mario S. 17. Tirelli M. 10. Cuppone L.	1. Bleve M. (G) 4. Illanes J. 6. Oliana F. 26. Ruggeri F. 72. Zanon S. 8. Melegoni F. 18. Schiavi N. (C) 17. Zuelli E. 7. Belloni N. 9. Abiuso F. 28. Di Stefano F.
Substitutes
3. Alborghetti M. 32. Benedetti L. 77. Boccadamo A. 1. Colombi S. (G) 27. Dalla Vecchia M. 19. Debenedetti A. 57. Del Lungo T. 94. Mezzoni F. 4. Nichetti M. 99. Siaulys O. (G) 9. Stabile D. P. 46. Turicchia R.	13. Bouah D. 32. Finotto M. 99. Fiorillo V. (G) 78. Guercio T. 70. Hasa L. 75. Liberali S. 25. Lordkipanidze D. 77. Parlanti G. 73. Rouhi J. 21. Rubino T. 44. Sekulov N. 92. Torregrossa E.
Coaches
Chiappella A.	Calabro A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Tirelli M. ⚽,
37', Illanes J. 🟨,
45', Melegoni F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Belloni N. ↓, Rouhi J. ↑,
46', Abiuso F. ↓, Finotto M. ↑,
46', 2 - 0, Cuppone L. ⚽,
49', Bariti D. 🟨,
50', 2 - 1, Zanon S. ⚽,
56', Cuppone L. 🟨,
58', Bariti D. ↓, Mezzoni F. ↑,
58', Squizzato N. ↓, Benedetti L. ↑,
60', Melegoni F. ↓, Hasa L. ↑,
69', Illanes J. ↓, Bouah D. ↑,
74', Tirelli M. 🟨,
74', Tirelli M. ↓, Debenedetti A. ↑,
83', Di Stefano F. ↓, Torregrossa E. ↑,
87', Di Mario S. ↓, Alborghetti M. ↑,
87', Cuppone L. ↓, Nichetti M. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Virtus Entella won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Virtus Entella is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Virtus Entella: Guiu B. (Red Card)

There will not play in Carrarese: Calabrese N. (Yellow Cards) Imperiale M. (Inactive) Salamon B. (Inactive)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Virtus Entella won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:17. (average 1.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Virtus Entella won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:8. (average 2.1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Entella	6	1	3	2	8:7	1	6
20	Carrarese	5	0	1	4	2:6	-4	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Entella
Italian Serie B
01.05.26	Bari - Virtus Entella	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Virtus Entella - Padova	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Empoli - Virtus Entella	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Virtus Entella - Venezia	1:1 ✺
06.04.26	Mantova - Virtus Entella	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWTTL
- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie B
01.05.26	Carrarese - Cesena	0:0 ✺
25.04.26	Frosinone - Carrarese	3:0 ✺
19.04.26	Carrarese - Pescara	2:2 ✺
12.04.26	Reggiana - Carrarese	2:0 ✺
06.04.26	Carrarese - Spezia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
14.12.25	Carrarese - Virtus Entella	3:1
Club Friendly
28.07.24	Virtus Entella - Carrarese	0:0
Italian Serie C Group B
10.02.24	Virtus Entella - Carrarese	1:3
30.09.23	Carrarese - Virtus Entella	2:0
22.01.23	Virtus Entella - Carrarese	4:0
Coppa Italia Serie C
05.10.22	Virtus Entella - Carrarese	2:1 penalties
Italian Serie C Group B
18.09.22	Carrarese - Virtus Entella	3:1

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