Match Info

Date: 19 October 2022, Wednesday


	Fiorenzuola		Gubbio

	1	X	2
	3.25	2.85	2.15
	3	2.75	2.43
	3.4	2.8	2.15
	3.82	3	2.04
	3.4	2.88	2.15
	3.42	3.1	2.09	Watch
	3.5	3	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↑ (2.56)	2.91 ↑ (2.79)	2.17 ↓ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fiorenzuola
26.8%

Draw
31.3%

Gubbio
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

31.9%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

31.4%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorenzuola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fiorenzuola's form might have worsened.

Gubbio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gubbio's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorenzuola than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fiorenzuola, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gubbio than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gubbio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	22.2%	22.2%

Fiorenzuola - Gubbio Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Fiorenzuola will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Gubbio will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorenzuola: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Fiorenzuola is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Gubbio is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Gubbio have a series of home games.

Gubbio will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Fiorenzuola 1922
Italian Serie C Group B
16.10.22	Fiorenzuola - Montevarchi	1:0 ✺
09.10.22	Olbia - Fiorenzuola	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
05.10.22	Fiorenzuola - Lucchese	0:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
02.10.22	Fiorenzuola - Reggiana	5:0 ✺
24.09.22	Imolese - Fiorenzuola	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWLWW
- AS Gubbio 1910
Italian Serie C Group B
16.10.22	Gubbio - Reggiana	1:2 ✺
09.10.22	Gubbio - Rimini	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
05.10.22	Gubbio - Recanatese	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
02.10.22	Carrarese - Gubbio	0:2 ✺
24.09.22	Gubbio - Virtus Entella	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLWWT

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