Match Info

Serie D - Group G - Round 18

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Flaminia Civita Castellana		Real Monterotondo

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.6	4.75
	1.65	3.45	4.45
	1.67	3.61	4.63	Watch
	1.67	3.3	4.6
	1.66	3.48	4.74
	1.66	3.6	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (2.1)	3.51 ↑ (3.25)	4.61 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flaminia Civita Castellana
54.7%

Draw
25.7%

Real Monterotondo
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

27.1%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

25.2%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flaminia Civita Castellana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Flaminia Civita Castellana's performance.

Real Monterotondo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Monterotondo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flaminia Civita Castellana than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Flaminia Civita Castellana that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Monterotondo than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Monterotondo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Flaminia Civita Castellana - Real Monterotondo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Carbone L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
83', 1 - 1, Tascini A. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent performances by Flaminia have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Real Monterotondo has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Real Monterotondo has had a series of away games.

In this match, Flaminia is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Flaminia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana
Italian Serie D - Group G
21.12.25	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Montespaccato	3:1 ✺
14.12.25	Budoni - Flaminia Civita Castellana	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Nocerina	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Albalonga - Flaminia Civita Castellana	3:3 ✺
23.11.25	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Palmese 1914	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTTTL
- Real Monterotondo
Italian Serie D - Group G
21.12.25	Valmontone - Real Monterotondo	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Real Monterotondo - Atletico Lodigiani	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Sarrabus Ogliastra - Real Monterotondo	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Cassino - Real Monterotondo	0:0 ✺
16.11.25	Montespaccato - Real Monterotondo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group G
07.09.25	Real Monterotondo - Flaminia Civita Castellana	2:4

Flaminia Civita Castellana - Real Monterotondo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide