The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fleetwood Town 31.9%
Draw 32%
AFC Wimbledon 36.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.1%
28.3%
33.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39%
29%
32.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fleetwood Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fleetwood Town's form might have worsened.
AFC Wimbledon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fleetwood Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
10%
65%
Fleetwood Town - AFC Wimbledon Predictions
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Fleetwood will win (votes: 5 - 25%). Wimbledon will win (votes: 13 - 65%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%). Confidence interval (95%) for Wimbledon: 44.1% – 85.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Lynch J. (G) 15. Bennett R. 4. Wiredu B. (C) 5. Bolton J. 26. Rooney S. 6. Bonds E. 20. Neal H. 16. Hunt M. 10. Mayor D. 21. Marsh L. 7. Graydon R.
1. Goodman O. (G) 33. Ogundere I. 31. Lewis J. 6. Johnson R. 11. Neufville J. 4. Reeves J. (C) 12. Smith A. 7. Tilley J. 9. Bugiel O. 14. Stevens M. 10. Kelly J.
Substitutes
2. Cover B. 17. Helm M. 37. Hewitson L. (G) 32. Hughes K. 27. Moore K. 44. Patterson P. 25. Potter F.
18. Browne M. 3. Furlong J. 41. Hutchinson S. 5. O'Toole J. J. 39. Pigott J. 29. Sasu A. 22. Ward L. (G)
Coaches
Wild P.
Jackson J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Bennett R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
68', Kelly J. ↓, Browne M. ↑,
77', Bonds E. 🟨,
78', Marsh L. ↓, Moore K. ↑,
78', Mayor D. ↓, Helm M. ↑,
82', Hunt M. ↓, Patterson P. ↑,
83', Neufville J. ↓, Sasu A. ↑,
87', Bugiel O. ↓, Pigott J. ↑,
87', Lewis J. ↓, Hutchinson S. ↑,
Preview
Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 17 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Fleetwood won 1.
Recent matches Fleetwood is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Wimbledon is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Wimbledon could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 18 head-to-head matches Fleetwood won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 20:18 (average 1.1:1).
Including matches at home between the teams Fleetwood won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:8 (average 0.9:0.9).