The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Morecambe 27.7%
Draw 29.2%
Fleetwood Town 43.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.8%
27.6%
44.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.4%
27.2%
45.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Morecambe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Fleetwood Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12.5%
25%
62.5%
Morecambe - Fleetwood Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Morecambe will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Fleetwood will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Fleetwood: 29% – 96%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Burgoyne H. (G) 2. Hendrie L. 5. Taylor M. 6. Stott J. 23. Tutonda D. 9. Hope H. 24. Songo'o Y. 20. Cooke C. 8. Macadam H. 16. Dallas A. 19. Dackers M.
13. Lynch J. (G) 26. Rooney S. 5. Bolton J. 25. Potter F. 44. Patterson P. 8. Virtue-Thick M. 6. Bonds E. 10. Mayor D. 16. Hunt M. 17. Helm M. 7. Graydon R.
Substitutes
7. Edwards G. 3. Lewis A. 17. Lewis P. 12. Schofield R. (G) 11. Slew J. 18. Tollitt B. 4. White T.
2. Cover B. 31. Devonport O. 37. Hewitson L. (G) 32. Hughes K. 27. Moore K. 20. Neal H. 33. Smith P.
Coaches
Adams D.
Wild P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Cooke C. (Pen),
29', Hope H. 🟨,
33', Lynch J. 🟨,
41', 1 - 1, Bolton J. ⚽, Patterson P. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
52', 2 - 1, Dallas A. ⚽, Hope H. (A),
57', Patterson P. ↓, Cover B. ↑,
57', Mayor D. ↓, Devonport O. ↑,
58', Bonds E. 🟨,
59', 3 - 1, Dallas A. ⚽,
68', Helm M. ↓, Neal H. ↑,
75', 3 - 2, Virtue-Thick M. ⚽, Devonport O. (A),
77', Tutonda D. ↓, Lewis A. ↑,
77', Hope H. ↓, White T. ↑,
83', Dallas A. ↓, Edwards G. ↑,
86', 4 - 2, Dackers M. ⚽,
88', Virtue-Thick M. 🟨,
89', Taylor M. 🟨,
90+1', Cooke C. ↓, Lewis P. ↑,
Preview
A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 12).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 1.
Morecambe is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Fleetwood is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Fleetwood could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Fleetwood will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 13 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 13:20 (average 1:1.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Morecambe won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:8 (average 0.6:1.6).
Watch
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Burgoyne H. (G) 
Tutonda D. 
Hope H. 
Songo'o Y. 
Dallas A. 
Dackers M. 
Bonds E. 
Hunt M. 
Graydon R. 
Cover B. 
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