Match Info

ENGLAND: League Two - Round 32

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday

Location: The Cherry Red Records Stadium (London)

Referee: Young A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	AFC Wimbledon		Salford City

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.4	4.5	Watch
	1.8	3.4	4.75	Watch
	1.82	3.5	5
	1.83	3.32	4.62	Watch
	1.85	3.3	4.75
	1.81	3.41	4.51	Watch
	1.8	3.4	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.12)	3.39 ↑ (3.23)	4.7 ↑ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AFC Wimbledon
52%

Draw
27.9%

Salford City
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

28.9%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

28.5%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Wimbledon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AFC Wimbledon's performance.

Salford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Salford City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AFC Wimbledon that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Salford City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

AFC Wimbledon - Salford City Predictions

Users Predictions: AFC Wimbledon will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Goodman O. (G) 33. Ogundere I. 31. Lewis J. 6. Johnson R. 11. Neufville J. 4. Reeves J. (C) 12. Smith A. 7. Tilley J. 18. Browne M. 9. Bugiel O. 14. Stevens M.	1. Jones J. (G) 19. Mnoga H. 16. Tilt C. (C) 29. Garbutt L. 28. Warrington L. 11. Taylor J. 8. Lund M. 6. Fornah T. 3. Berkoe K. 9. Stockton C. 31. Adelakun H.
Substitutes
3. Furlong J. 41. Hutchinson S. 10. Kelly J. 5. O'Toole J. J. 39. Pigott J. 29. Sasu A. 22. Ward L. (G)	2. Edwards T. 27. Kouassi K. 25. Longelo-Mbule R. 18. McAleny C. 37. Okoronkwo F. 7. Watson R. 13. Young M. (G)
Coaches
Jackson J.	Robinson K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Smith A. 🟨,
24', Fornah T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', 1 - 0, Stevens M. ⚽, Browne M. (A),
68', Berkoe K. ↓, Okoronkwo F. ↑,
68', Stockton C. ↓, Kouassi K. ↑,
71', Bugiel O. 🟨,
72', Garbutt L. 🟨,
78', Browne M. 🟨,
81', Browne M. ↓, Sasu A. ↑,
83', Taylor J. 🟨,
89', Taylor J. ↓, Edwards T. ↑,
89', Lund M. ↓, Longelo-Mbule R. ↑,
89', Warrington L. ↓, Watson R. ↑,
90+2', Stevens M. ↓, Kelly J. ↑,

Preview

Kolstad is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Kolstad could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Kolstad have a series of home games.

In this match Zagreb is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Zagreb won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 90:74 (average 30:24.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Zagreb won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 31:20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Wimbledon
English League Two
11.02.25	AFC Wimbledon - Crewe Alexandra	3:0 ✺
08.02.25	Accrington Stanley - AFC Wimbledon	0:0 ✺
01.02.25	AFC Wimbledon - Bradford City	1:0 ✺
28.01.25	Crewe Alexandra - AFC Wimbledon	1:1 ✺
25.01.25	Milton Keynes Dons - AFC Wimbledon	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WTWTT
- Salford City
English League Two
08.02.25	Salford City - Tranmere Rovers	2:0 ✺
04.02.25	Salford City - Bromley	3:3 ✺
01.02.25	Walsall - Salford City	2:2 ✺
28.01.25	Salford City - Newport County	1:1 ✺
25.01.25	Cheltenham Town - Salford City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
05.10.24	Salford City - AFC Wimbledon	1:0
06.04.24	AFC Wimbledon - Salford City	1:0
16.12.23	Salford City - AFC Wimbledon	0:0
10.04.23	AFC Wimbledon - Salford City	2:3
12.11.22	Salford City - AFC Wimbledon	0:0

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