Match Info

ENGLAND: League Two - Round 9

Date: 11 February 2025, Tuesday

Location: The Cherry Red Records Stadium (London)

Referee: Humphries A. (Eng)


	AFC Wimbledon		Crewe Alexandra

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.2	4.75	Watch
	1.83	3.3	4.75	Watch
	1.86	3.34	4.93
	1.82	3.26	4.78	Watch
	1.85	3.1	4.5
	1.82	3.32	4.67	Watch
	1.83	3.3	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.9)	3.26 ↓ (3.27)	4.73 ↑ (4.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AFC Wimbledon
51.3%

Draw
28.9%

Crewe Alexandra
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

28.6%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

27.4%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Wimbledon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.5%	23.5%	0%

AFC Wimbledon - Crewe Alexandra Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Wimbledon will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wimbledon: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Goodman O. (G) 33. Ogundere I. 31. Lewis J. 6. Johnson R. 11. Neufville J. 4. Reeves J. (C) 12. Smith A. 7. Tilley J. 18. Browne M. 9. Bugiel O. 14. Stevens M.	12. Marschall F. (G) 2. Cooney R. 3. Knight-Lebel J. 26. O'Riordan C. 4. Williams Z. (C) 25. Conway M. 11. Tabiner J. 23. Powell J. 30. Lowery T. 17. Holicek M. 10. Tracey S.
Substitutes
19. Foyo O. 3. Furlong J. 21. Hippolyte M. 5. O'Toole J. J. 39. Pigott J. 29. Sasu A. 22. Ward L. (G)	20. Agius C. 28. Billington L. 1. Booth T. (G) 22. Dancey S. 32. Moore L. 6. Sanders M. H. 29. Thibaut A.
Coaches
Jackson J.	Bell L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', Lowery T. 🟨,
21', Williams Z. 🟨,
39', Knight-Lebel J. 🟥,
41', 1 - 0, Stevens M. (Pen),
45+2', 2 - 0, Reeves J. ⚽, Bugiel O. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Holicek M. ↓, Billington L. ↑,
56', 3 - 0, Stevens M. ⚽, Smith A. (A),
60', Lowery T. ↓, Sanders M. H. ↑,
61', Tracey S. ↓, Agius C. ↑,
71', Conway M. 🟨,
72', Browne M. ↓, Hippolyte M. ↑,
72', Neufville J. ↓, Sasu A. ↑,
77', Powell J. 🟨,
78', Bugiel O. ↓, Pigott J. ↑,
89', Tilley J. ↓, Furlong J. ↑,
90', Stevens M. ↓, Foyo O. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wimbledon won 0.

Wimbledon is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Crewe is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Wimbledon is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Wimbledon won 1 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:13 (average 1.1:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Wimbledon won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:7 (average 1.8:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Wimbledon
English League Two
08.02.25	Accrington Stanley - AFC Wimbledon	0:0 ✺
01.02.25	AFC Wimbledon - Bradford City	1:0 ✺
28.01.25	Crewe Alexandra - AFC Wimbledon	1:1 ✺
25.01.25	Milton Keynes Dons - AFC Wimbledon	0:0 ✺
18.01.25	AFC Wimbledon - Tranmere Rovers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TWTTW
- Crewe Alexandra
English League Two
08.02.25	Crewe Alexandra - Newport County	0:3 ✺
01.02.25	Harrogate Town - Crewe Alexandra	1:1 ✺
28.01.25	Crewe Alexandra - AFC Wimbledon	1:1 ✺
25.01.25	Crewe Alexandra - Accrington Stanley	0:1 ✺
18.01.25	Morecambe - Crewe Alexandra	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
28.01.25	Crewe Alexandra - AFC Wimbledon	1:1
23.03.24	Crewe Alexandra - AFC Wimbledon	1:1
16.09.23	AFC Wimbledon - Crewe Alexandra	2:2
07.01.23	Crewe Alexandra - AFC Wimbledon	0:0
25.10.22	AFC Wimbledon - Crewe Alexandra	1:1
English League One
15.04.22	Crewe Alexandra - AFC Wimbledon	3:1
23.11.21	AFC Wimbledon - Crewe Alexandra	3:2

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