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Current Win Probability
Harrogate Town 26.9%
Draw 27.3%
Fleetwood Town 45.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.6%
28.7%
41.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.5%
27.6%
43.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Harrogate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
Fleetwood Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
15.4%
15.4%
69.2%
Harrogate Town - Fleetwood Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Harrogate will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Fleetwood will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Fleetwood: 44.1% – 94.3%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 66.7%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
O/U 1.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
AH 0 - Fleetwood (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fleetwood Town will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Fleetwood (votes: 5 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Gray H. (G) 16. Headman C. 30. Gibson L. 31. Heffernan C. 23. Sutton E. 8. Morris B. (C) 4. Evans J. 3. Slater J. 7. Thomson G. 22. Smith R. 12. Acquah E.
13. Lynch J. (G) 26. Rooney S. 35. Haughey C. 18. Holgate H. 20. Neal H. 16. Ennis E. 6. Bonds E. (C) 10. Helm M. 22. Powell J. 9. Davies W. 17. Evans C.
Substitutes
24. Cass L. 44. Falkingham J. 26. Horton G. 37. Marsh A. 14. McAleny C. 18. Muldoon J. 1. Oxley M. (G)
29. Devonport O. 37. Hewitson L. (G) 32. Hughes K. 38. McLean C. 44. Mullarkey T. 34. Roberts L. 8. Virtue-Thick M.
Coaches
Weaver S.
Wild P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
14', Neal H. ↓, Virtue-Thick M. ↑,
24', Morris B. 🟨,
45+3', 0 - 1, Evans C. ⚽, Powell J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Gray H. ↓, Oxley M. ↑,
56', Davies W. 🟨,
62', Rooney S. ↓, Mullarkey T. ↑,
67', Gibson L. ↓, Cass L. ↑,
67', Thomson G. ↓, Marsh A. ↑,
75', Headman C. 🟨,
77', Powell J. ↓, Hughes K. ↑,
77', Davies W. ↓, Devonport O. ↑,
78', Haughey C. 🟨,
81', Sutton E. ↓, McAleny C. ↑,
81', 1 - 1, Marsh A. ⚽, Oxley M. (A),
85', Bonds E. 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 2, Virtue-Thick M. ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 15).
In recent games, both teams have suffered a series of defeats.
Fleetwood might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Harrogate: Bradbury T.
(Injury)
Duke-McKenna S.
(Injury)
Faulkner B.
(Inactive)
Fox B.
(Inactive)
Sutton L.
(Inactive)
Taylor E.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Fleetwood: Hume D.
(Inactive)
Johnson W.
(Inactive)
Potter F.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Harrogate: Hill T.
(Injury)
O'Connor A.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Fleetwood: Bolton J.
(Inactive)
McCann L.
(Inactive)
Norwood J.
(Inactive)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Harrogate won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).
Including home match between the teams, Harrogate won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
16
Fleetwood
10
2
5
3
10:11
-1
11
Last Results with these Odds
Harrogate Town - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 29.6%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.