The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Notts County 58.9%
Draw 24.2%
Barrow 16.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.3%
23.8%
16.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.8%
22.8%
16.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
The chances for Barrow have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
0%
16.7%
Notts County - Barrow Predictions
Users Predictions:
Notts County will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Belshaw J. (G) 28. Macari L. 5. Platt M. 4. Bedeau J. (C) 25. Tsaroulla N. 20. Robertson S. 8. Norburn O. 10. Jones J. 14. Iorpenda T. 26. Hall T. 19. Dennis M.
1. Stanway W. (G) 26. Thompson J. 6. Canavan N. (C) 22. Anderson J. 11. Newby E. 8. Smith S. 14. McCann C. 28. Powell B. 21. Earing J. 19. Malcolm J. 33. Rose D.
Substitutes
47. Bennetts K. 22. Enoru B. 21. Griffiths H. (G) 17. Kouhyar Q. 39. Ndlovu L. 12. Ness L. 27. Tangen H.
29. Barkhuizen T. 32. Barrett K. (G) 7. Jackson B. 23. Mahoney C. 5. Raglan C. 10. Walker T.
Coaches
Paterson M.
McDonald N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Smith S. (Own goal),
19', Smith S. 🟨,
30', 1 - 1, McCann C. ⚽, Earing J. (A),
38', Rose D. 🟨,
43', Iorpenda T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Hall T. ↓, Tangen H. ↑,
58', 2 - 1, Dennis M. ⚽, Robertson S. (A),
66', Jones J. ↓, Kouhyar Q. ↑,
69', Smith S. ↓, Barkhuizen T. ↑,
76', Robertson S. ↓, Bennetts K. ↑,
76', Thompson J. ↓, Raglan C. ↑,
77', Earing J. ↓, Mahoney C. ↑,
77', Malcolm J. ↓, Walker T. ↑,
78', Dennis M. ↓, Ndlovu L. ↑,
85', Norburn O. ↓, Ness L. ↑,
86', Anderson J. 🟨,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 21).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 0.
Notts County has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Barrow is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Barrow may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Notts County is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Notts County: Luker J.
(Inactive)
McDonald R.
(Injury)
There will not play in Barrow: Foley S.
(Surgery)
Hemmings K.
(Injury)
Walker T.
(Inactive)
Williams M.
(Inactive)
Winterbottom B.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Barrow: Gordon J.
(Inactive)
We predict that Notts County will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Notts County won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).