Match Info

Date: 9 October 2020, Friday


	Fleetwood Town		Hull City

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.5	2.37	Watch
	2.85	3.4	2.35
	3	3.4	2.3	Watch
	2.95	3.25	2.31
	3.09	3.51	2.38
	2.9	3.3	2.3	Watch
	2.99	3.56	2.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.72)	3.42 ↑ (3.37)	2.35 ↓ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fleetwood Town
32%

Draw
27.7%

Hull City
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

28.1%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

21.3%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fleetwood Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Hull City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fleetwood Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hull City than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hull City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.5%	5.2%	79.3%

Fleetwood Town - Hull City Predictions

Users Predictions: 58 users predict this event. Fleetwood will win (votes: 9 - 15.5%). Hull will win (votes: 46 - 79.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 5.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hull: 68.9% – 89.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

No spectators.

Fleetwood has a chance of relegated (16%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (12%), has a very small chance of promoted (5%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Hull has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (29%), has a good chance of promoted (67%), has a chance of win league (40%).

Fleetwood is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hull is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Hull could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fleetwood Town
English EFL Trophy
06.10.20	Fleetwood Town - Aston Villa U21	3:0 ✺
English League One
03.10.20	Rochdale - Fleetwood Town	2:1 ✺
26.09.20	Fleetwood Town - AFC Wimbledon	0:1 ✺
English League Cup
23.09.20	Fleetwood Town - Everton	2:5 ✺
English League One
19.09.20	Peterborough United - Fleetwood Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 WLLLL
- Hull City
English League One
03.10.20	Hull City - Plymouth Argyle	1:0 ✺
26.09.20	Northampton Town - Hull City	0:2 ✺
English League Cup
22.09.20	West Ham United - Hull City	5:1 ✺
English League One
19.09.20	Hull City - Crewe Alexandra	1:0 ✺
English League Cup
16.09.20	Leeds United - Hull City	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.6 WWLWW

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