Match Info

ENGLAND: Championship - Round 35

Date: 4 March 2025, Tuesday

Location: MKM Stadium (Hull)

Referee: Davies A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	Net4+
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+


	Hull City		Plymouth Argyle

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.6	5.75	Watch
	1.63	3.8	5.5
	1.63	3.97	5.36	Watch
	1.64	3.93	5.82
	1.62	3.87	5.72	Watch
	1.65	3.8	5.5
	1.64	3.9	5.36	Watch
	1.63	3.97	5.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.76)	3.86 ↑ (3.81)	5.55 ↑ (4.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hull City
58.2%

Draw
24.7%

Plymouth Argyle
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

25%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

26.9%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hull City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hull City than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.1%	7.7%	19.2%

Hull City - Plymouth Argyle Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Hull will win (votes: 18 - 72%). Plymouth will win (votes: 5 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hull: 54.4% – 89.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pandur I. (G) 2. Coyle L. (C) 5. Jones A. 4. Hughes C. 6. McLoughlin S. 20. Puerta G. 19. Alzate S. 44. Kamara A. 28. Joseph K. 30. Gelhardt J. 12. Joao Pedro Galvao	21. Hazard C. (G) 40. Talovierov M. 25. Katic N. (C) 5. Pleguezuelo J. 2. Mumba B. 18. Gyabi D. 4. Houghton J. 17. Puchacz T. 29. Sorinola M. 28. Al Hajj R. 15. Bundu M.
Substitutes
37. Amrabat N. 48. Burstow M. 23. Drameh C. 15. Egan J. 29. Jacob M. 16. Lincoln 32. Lo-Tutala T. (G) 45. Palmer K. 27. Slater R.	30. Baidoo M. 19. Boateng M. 8. Edwards J. 31. Grimshaw D. (G) 14. Obafemi M. 3. Ogbeta N. 44. Palsson V. 6. Szucs K. 11. Wright C.
Coaches
Selles R.	Muslic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Talovierov M. 🟨,
36', Hughes C. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', Puchacz T. 🟨,
48', 1 - 0, Gelhardt J. ⚽,
61', 2 - 0, Kamara A. ⚽, Joao Pedro Galvao (A),
62', Gyabi D. ↓, Obafemi M. ↑,
62', Houghton J. ↓, Boateng M. ↑,
63', Puchacz T. ↓, Ogbeta N. ↑,
79', Talovierov M. ↓, Wright C. ↑,
83', Mumba B. ↓, Baidoo M. ↑,
84', Alzate S. ↓, Slater R. ↑,
84', Joseph K. ↓, Palmer K. ↑,
88', Sorinola M. 🟨,
90', Gelhardt J. ↓, Burstow M. ↑,
90+3', Kamara A. ↓, Drameh C. ↑,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 21 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).

Hull is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Plymouth is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Plymouth could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Hull is a favorite.

There will not play in Hull: Barry L. (Knee Injury) Belloumi M. (Knee Injury) Millar L. (Knee Injury) Zambrano O. (Doping)

There will not play in Plymouth: Galloway B. (Hip Injury) Hardie R. (Back Injury)

There are questionable in Hull: Palmer K. (Ankle Injury) Sinik D. (Leg Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hull won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:3 (average 1.2:0.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Hull won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hull City
English League Championship
25.02.25	Cardiff City - Hull City	1:0 ✺
22.02.25	Sunderland - Hull City	0:1 ✺
15.02.25	Hull City - Norwich City	1:1 ✺
12.02.25	Burnley - Hull City	2:0 ✺
01.02.25	Hull City - Stoke City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LWTLL
- Plymouth Argyle
English FA Cup
01.03.25	Manchester City - Plymouth Argyle	3:1 ✺
English League Championship
22.02.25	Plymouth Argyle - Cardiff City	1:1 ✺
19.02.25	Luton Town - Plymouth Argyle	1:1 ✺
15.02.25	Blackburn Rovers - Plymouth Argyle	2:0 ✺
12.02.25	Plymouth Argyle - Millwall	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
17.08.24	Plymouth Argyle - Hull City	1:1
04.05.24	Plymouth Argyle - Hull City	1:0
30.09.23	Hull City - Plymouth Argyle	1:1
English League One
10.04.21	Plymouth Argyle - Hull City	0:3
03.10.20	Hull City - Plymouth Argyle	1:0

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