Match Info

ENGLAND: League Two - Round 7

Date: 23 September 2024, Monday

Location: Highbury Stadium (Fleetwood)

Referee: Corlett M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay, V Sport 2
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Iceland	Viaplay
India	FanCode, FanCode
Ireland	NOW
Japan	DAZN Japan
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Poland	Viaplay
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 1, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports+, Sky Ultra
Usa	Paramount+


	Fleetwood Town		Morecambe

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.9	6	Watch
	1.55	4.1	5.5
	1.55	4.33	5.5	Watch
	1.56	4.18	5.87
	1.56	4	5.76	Watch
	1.55	4	6.5
	1.55	4.15	5.53	Watch
	1.55	4.33	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.68)	4.12 ↑ (3.65)	5.77 ↑ (5.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fleetwood Town
60.8%

Draw
22.9%

Morecambe
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

25.8%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

24.7%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fleetwood Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Morecambe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.7%	6.2%	0%

Fleetwood Town - Morecambe Predictions

Users Predictions: Fleetwood Town will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Harrington D. (G) 4. Wiredu B. (C) 15. Bennett R. 6. Bonds E. 5. Bolton J. 2. Johnston C. 17. Helm M. 10. Mayor D. 44. Patterson P. 7. Graydon R. 19. Coughlan R.	25. Moore S. (G) 22. Millen R. 14. Williams R. 6. Stott J. 3. Lewis A. 28. Jones C. 24. Songo'o Y. (C) 18. Tollitt B. 8. Macadam H. 17. Lewis P. 10. Angol L.
Substitutes
11. Broom R. 9. Harratt K. 32. Hughes K. 16. Hunt M. 13. Lynch J. (G) 20. Odubeko A. 8. Virtue-Thick M.	1. Burgoyne H. (G) 36. Dackers M. 12. Harrack K. 9. Hope H. 11. Slew J. 5. Taylor M. 23. Tutonda D.
Coaches
Adam C.	Adams D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Graydon R. ⚽, Mayor D. (A),
38', Songo'o Y. 🟨,
40', Angol L. 🟨,
42', Helm M. 🟨,
45+3', 2 - 0, Coughlan R. ⚽, Patterson P. (A),
45+5', Bonds E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Williams R. ↓, Slew J. ↑,
46', Macadam H. ↓, Dackers M. ↑,
46', Angol L. ↓, Harrack K. ↑,
46', Jones C. ↓, Tutonda D. ↑,
58', Mayor D. ↓, Virtue-Thick M. ↑,
58', Coughlan R. ↓, Harratt K. ↑,
63', Tollitt B. 🟨,
71', Bolton J. 🟨,
74', Helm M. ↓, Broom R. ↑,
74', Patterson P. ↓, Hunt M. ↑,
74', 2 - 1, Songo'o Y. ⚽, Slew J. (A),
79', Millen R. ↓, Hope H. ↑,
81', Johnston C. 🟨,
84', Hunt M. 🟨,
86', 2 - 2, Hope H. ⚽, Dackers M. (A),
89', Harrack K. 🟨,
90+6', Graydon R. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fleetwood won 2.

Recent matches Fleetwood is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Morecambe is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fleetwood could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Fleetwood is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Fleetwood won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 18-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Fleetwood won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fleetwood Town
English League Cup
17.09.24	Stoke City - Fleetwood Town	2:1 penalties ✺
English League Two
14.09.24	Carlisle United - Fleetwood Town	2:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
03.09.24	Fleetwood Town - Aston Villa U21	2:3 ✺
English League Two
31.08.24	AFC Wimbledon - Fleetwood Town	1:0 ✺
English League Cup
27.08.24	Fleetwood Town - Rotherham United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWLLW
- Morecambe
English League Two
14.09.24	Morecambe - Colchester United	3:3 ✺
07.09.24	Crewe Alexandra - Morecambe	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
03.09.24	Wigan Athletic - Morecambe	1:2 ✺
English League Two
31.08.24	Morecambe - Newport County	0:1 ✺
24.08.24	Doncaster Rovers - Morecambe	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
25.02.23	Fleetwood Town - Morecambe	1:0
13.08.22	Morecambe - Fleetwood Town	1:1
18.12.21	Morecambe - Fleetwood Town	0:0
20.11.21	Fleetwood Town - Morecambe	1:2
Club Friendly
28.07.18	Morecambe - Fleetwood Town	1:3
English EFL Trophy
03.10.17	Fleetwood Town - Morecambe	2:1
08.12.15	Fleetwood Town - Morecambe	2:0

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