The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fleetwood Town 48.7%
Draw 26.5%
Rotherham United 24.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
37.6%
27.7%
34.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.8%
26.8%
33.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fleetwood Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fleetwood Town's performance.
Rotherham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rotherham United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fleetwood Town that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rotherham United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Fleetwood Town - Rotherham United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lynch J. (G) 26. Rooney S. 6. Bennett R. 5. Potter F. 4. Neal H. 14. McCann L. 15. Murphy A. 10. Helm M. 24. Batty J. 17. Evans C. (C) 19. Coughlan R.
13. Eyestone J. (G) 27. Iorfa D. 14. Aljofree S. 26. Douglas H. 12. Hall D. 22. Jellis J. 28. Cover B. 24. Buyabu J. 4. Austerfield J. 10. Mullin P. (C) 9. Bradshaw T.
Substitutes
29. Cirino R. 9. Davies W. 16. Haughey C. 20. Loupalo-Bi A. 27. McLean C. 22. Pradic J. (G) 28. Robertson J.
1. Cann T. (G) 15. Fitzgerald J. 20. Lolos K. 23. Nemane A. 5. Ngwenya K. 2. Rafferty J. 8. Spence K.
Coaches
Lawlor M.
Bruce A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Cover B. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', 1 - 0, Rooney S. ⚽,
53', Aljofree S. ↓, Nemane A. ↑,
53', Austerfield J. ↓, Spence K. ↑,
54', Bradshaw T. ↓, Lolos K. ↑,
54', Cover B. ↓, Fitzgerald J. ↑,
62', Douglas H. 🟨,
65', Evans C. ↓, Davies W. ↑,
65', Helm M. 🟨,
66', Coughlan R. 🟨,
77', Murphy A. ↓, McLean C. ↑,
80', 2 - 0, Coughlan R. ⚽, McLean C. (A),
85', Helm M. ↓, Haughey C. ↑,
85', Coughlan R. ↓, Cirino R. ↑,
89', Lolos K. 🟨,
89', Lynch J. 🟨,
90+1', Iorfa D. 🟨,
90+1', McCann L. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 16th and 20th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fleetwood won 3.
Both teams have struggled for positive results in recent outings.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Fleetwood holding a narrow advantage.
Confirmed absences for Fleetwood: Thompson-Sommers K.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for Rotherham: Agbaire L.
(Inactive)
Otoo E.
(Inactive)
Sebine G.
(Inactive)
Tavares F.
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for Fleetwood: Andrew D.
(Inactive)
Cannon A.
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for Rotherham: Lolos K.
(Inactive).
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Fleetwood has recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:15 (averaging 1.5:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Fleetwood against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 8:5 goals (averaging 1.3:0.8 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
18
Fleetwood
13
3
5
5
15:17
-2
14
22
Rotherham
13
2
6
5
17:23
-6
12
Outrights of English League Two for now
Rotherham: 0.98%
Last Results with these Odds
Fleetwood Town - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 37.56%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.
Rotherham United - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 34.75%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.