Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 September 2024, Tuesday

Location: Bet365 Stadium (Stoke on Trent)

Referee: Robinson T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Connect
Canada	DAZN Canada
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	Vidio
Japan	DAZN Japan
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Stoke City		Fleetwood Town

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.2	5.25	Watch
	1.6	4.2	5.25
	1.62	4.2	5.5	Watch
	1.59	4.23	5.72
	1.57	4.3	5.06	Watch
	1.5	4.2	6.5
	1.61	4.25	5.25	Watch
	1.6	4.33	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.64)	4.24 ↑ (3.83)	5.5 ↑ (4.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stoke City
60.2%

Draw
22.5%

Fleetwood Town
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

24.3%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

23.6%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stoke City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Fleetwood Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	8.3%	0%

Stoke City - Fleetwood Town Predictions

Users Predictions: Stoke City will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Johansson V. (G) 41. Dixon J. 26. Phillips A. 5. Rose M. 3. Stevens E. 30. Sidibe S. 15. Thompson J. 11. Koumas L. 10. Bae J. 24. Moran A. 42. Manhoef M.	13. Lynch J. (G) 4. Wiredu B. (C) 18. Holgate H. 5. Bolton J. 2. Johnston C. 8. Virtue-Thick M. 10. Mayor D. 6. Bonds E. 17. Helm M. 44. Patterson P. 19. Coughlan R.
Substitutes
43. Anderson F. 17. Bocat E. 13. Bonham J. (G) 6. Burger W. 9. Cannon T. 50. Lipsiuc D. 12. Seko T. 37. Tezgel E. 16. Wilmot B.	15. Bennett R. 11. Broom R. 7. Graydon R. 1. Harrington D. (G) 32. Hughes K. 14. Lonergan T. 20. Odubeko A. 25. Potter F. 33. Smith P.
Coaches
Shawcross R.	Adam C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Holgate H. ↓, Hughes K. ↑,
18', Thompson J. 🟨,
28', Helm M. 🟨,
33', Bae J. 🟨,
41', Phillips A. ↓, Wilmot B. ↑,
45+4', Mayor D. 🟨,
45+4', Manhoef M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Stevens E. ↓, Bocat E. ↑,
54', 1 - 0, Rose M. ⚽, Sidibe S. (A),
57', Bolton J. 🟨,
59', Johnston C. ↓, Broom R. ↑,
59', Coughlan R. ↓, Graydon R. ↑,
62', Moran A. ↓, Burger W. ↑,
63', Manhoef M. ↓, Tezgel E. ↑,
63', Bae J. ↓, Cannon T. ↑,
70', Hughes K. ↓, Bennett R. ↑,
71', Helm M. ↓, Odubeko A. ↑,
72', Mayor D. ↓, Lonergan T. ↑,
89', Koumas L. ↓, Lipsiuc D. ↑,
89', Johansson V. 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 1, Bennett R. ⚽, Patterson P. (A),
Penalties (2 - 1)
1, Patterson P. (Pen),
1, Cannon T. (Pen),
2, Graydon R. (Pen),
2, Tezgel E. (Pen),
3, Odubeko A. (Pen),
3, Sidibe S. (Pen),
4, Bonds E. (Pen),
4, Burger W. (Pen),
5, Broom R. (Pen),

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Fleetwood could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Stoke have a series of guest games.

In this match Stoke is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Stoke won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Stoke won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stoke City
English League Championship
14.09.24	Oxford United - Stoke City	1:0 ✺
31.08.24	Plymouth Argyle - Stoke City	0:1 ✺
English League Cup
27.08.24	Middlesbrough - Stoke City	0:5 ✺
English League Championship
24.08.24	Stoke City - West Bromwich Albion	1:2 ✺
17.08.24	Watford - Stoke City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWWLL
- Fleetwood Town
English League Two
14.09.24	Carlisle United - Fleetwood Town	2:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
03.09.24	Fleetwood Town - Aston Villa U21	2:3 ✺
English League Two
31.08.24	AFC Wimbledon - Fleetwood Town	1:0 ✺
English League Cup
27.08.24	Fleetwood Town - Rotherham United	2:1 ✺
English League Two
24.08.24	Fleetwood Town - Gillingham	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Cup
10.08.21	Stoke City - Fleetwood Town	2:1

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