Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL Trophy

Date: 3 September 2024, Tuesday

Location: The Brick Community Stadium (Wigan)

Referee: Miles J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Wigan Athletic		Morecambe

	1	X	2
	1.5	4	6.25
	1.47	3.9	5.5
	1.5	4	6
	1.51	4.13	5.8
	1.53	4.06	6.11	Watch
	1.44	4	6
	1.49	4.1	6.21
	1.5	4	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.41)	4.02 ↓ (4.5)	5.98 ↓ (6.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wigan Athletic
61.7%

Draw
22.9%

Morecambe
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.5%

20.5%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

13.9%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wigan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (-17.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wigan Athletic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Morecambe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	12.5%	25%

Wigan Athletic - Morecambe Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Wigan will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Morecambe will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wigan: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Watson T. (G) 23. Carragher J. 17. Sibbick T. 4. Aimson W. 24. McHugh H. 21. Smith S. 8. Smith M. 20. McManaman C. (C) 27. Payne K. 29. Thomas S. 25. Stones J.	1. Burgoyne H. (G) 12. Harrack K. 5. Taylor M. 6. Stott J. (C) 3. Lewis A. 17. Lewis P. 22. Millen R. 18. Tollitt B. 8. Macadam H. 11. Slew J. 10. Angol L.
Substitutes
11. Asamoah M. 9. Hugill J. 15. Kerr J. 22. Lonergan A. (G) 7. Rankine D. . Reilly J. 14. Sze C.	20. Brown C. 40. Fairclough A. 2. Hendrie L. 9. Hope H. 28. Jones C. 25. Moore S. (G) 23. Tutonda D.
Coaches
Maloney S.	Adams D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Macadam H. ⚽, Tollitt B. (A),
42', Angol L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Payne K. ↓, Sze C. ↑,
46', Thomas S. ↓, Asamoah M. ↑,
52', Stones J. ↓, Hugill J. ↑,
63', 1 - 1, Hugill J. (Pen),
65', 1 - 2, Angol L. ⚽,
66', Macadam H. 🟨,
66', Carragher J. ↓, Rankine D. ↑,
70', Tollitt B. 🟨,
78', Lewis A. ↓, Tutonda D. ↑,
78', Lewis P. ↓, Jones C. ↑,
78', Angol L. ↓, Hope H. ↑,
80', McHugh H. 🟨,
83', Macadam H. ↓, Hendrie L. ↑,
84', McHugh H. ↓, Reilly J. ↑,
90+1', Smith S. 🟨,

Preview

Wigan is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Morecambe has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Wigan is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Wigan won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Wigan won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wigan Athletic
English League One
31.08.24	Birmingham City - Wigan Athletic	2:1 ✺
24.08.24	Wigan Athletic - Crawley Town	1:0 ✺
17.08.24	Reading - Wigan Athletic	2:0 ✺
English League Cup
13.08.24	Wigan Athletic - Barnsley	1:2 penalties ✺
English League One
10.08.24	Wigan Athletic - Charlton Athletic	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LWLLL
- Morecambe
English League Two
31.08.24	Morecambe - Newport County	0:1 ✺
24.08.24	Doncaster Rovers - Morecambe	1:0 ✺
17.08.24	Morecambe - Gillingham	0:1 ✺
English League Cup
13.08.24	Huddersfield Town - Morecambe	3:0 ✺
English League Two
10.08.24	Walsall - Morecambe	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
19.03.22	Wigan Athletic - Morecambe	4:1
18.01.22	Morecambe - Wigan Athletic	1:2
Club Friendly
24.07.13	Morecambe - Wigan Athletic	0:1

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