Match Info

Cymru North - Round 27

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday


	Flint Mountain		Penrhyncoch

	1	X	2
	2.42	3.65	2.35
	2.37	3.73	2.44
	2.48	3.76	2.48	Watch
	2.38	3.4	2.4
	2.36	3.62	2.42
	2.38	3.6	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (2.5)	3.63 ↑ (3.52)	2.43 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flint Mountain
37.8%

Draw
25%

Penrhyncoch
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

25.5%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

25.8%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flint Mountain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Penrhyncoch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flint Mountain than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penrhyncoch than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Flint Mountain - Penrhyncoch Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Davies R. ⚽,
25', 0 - 2, Davies R. ⚽,
33', 1 - 2, Owens K. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', 2 - 2, O'Sullivan J. ⚽,
79', 2 - 3, Coleridge N. ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 and 15).

Flint Mountain is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Penrhyncoch has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Flint Mountain may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Penrhyncoch has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Flint Mountain won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:8. (average 3.3:2.7).

Including home match between the teams, Flint Mountain won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Penrhyncoch	10	0	1	9	4:30	-26	1

Last Results with these Odds

Penrhyncoch - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 38.55%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flint Mountain FC
Welsh Cymru North
13.03.26	Ruthin Town - Flint Mountain	1:2 ✺
10.03.26	Flint Mountain - Rhyl	0:1 ✺
27.02.26	Flint Mountain - Newtown	0:1 ✺
24.02.26	Flint Mountain - Llandudno	0:1 ✺
20.02.26	Gresford Athletic - Flint Mountain	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLLLL
- Penrhyncoch FC
Welsh Cymru North
14.03.26	Penrhyncoch - Holyhead Hotspur	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Buckley Town - Penrhyncoch	0:2 ✺
28.02.26	Penrhyncoch - Llandudno	2:3 ✺
14.02.26	Penrhyncoch - Mold Alexandra	3:1 ✺
04.02.26	Penrhyncoch - Caersws	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
25.10.25	Penrhyncoch - Flint Mountain	1:4
29.03.25	Flint Mountain - Penrhyncoch	5:1
25.03.25	Penrhyncoch - Flint Mountain	6:1

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