Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 July 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: A. Le Coq Arena (Tallinn) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Johnson O. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Estonia	19:00	Soccernet TV


	Flora Tallinn		Valur

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.8	1.91	Watch
	3	3.5	2.1	Watch
	3	3.75	2.1	Watch
	3.1	3.54	2
				Watch
	2.9	3.75	2.1
	3.29	3.8	2.11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (2.88)	3.69 ↑ (3.59)	2.05 ↓ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flora Tallinn
29.9%

Draw
25.1%

Valur
45.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.1%

25.7%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

25.4%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flora Tallinn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Valur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flora Tallinn than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valur than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	12.5%	62.5%

Flora Tallinn - Valur Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Flora will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Valur will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Valur: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Flora (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Valur (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Flora (1.67) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DNB - Flora (2.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Flora (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Valur (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Grunvald E. (G) 26. Hussar K. (C) 23. Kolobov M. 16. Tougjas E. 28. Tovstik S. 13. Mihhailov N. 30. Teevali T. 10. Poom M. 20. Zenjov S. 11. Sappinen R. 21. Kaares A.	18. Schram F. (G) 20. Omarsson O. 15. Eyjolfsson H. (C) 4. Nakkim M. 11. Larusson S. 8. Jonsson J. 2. Magnusson T. 6. Antonsson B. 23. Palsson A. 10. Sigurdsson K. 12. Haraldsson T.
Substitutes
29. Alamaa S. 89. Kalimullin M. 2. Kalmokov N. 99. Kivila K. (G) 78. Kukk M. 7. Kuraksin D. 22. Lepik M. 4. Lukka M. 17. Roivassepp G. 5. Vaher A. 18. Valdmets R. 6. Veering R.	25. Agustsson S. (G) 17. Heimisson L. 33. Hoti A. 95. Johannesson S. (G) 97. Jonsson B. 19. Kjartansson O. 30. Kjeld M. 21. Palsson J. 9. Pedersen P. 14. Skoglund A. 16. Stefansson S.
Coaches
Vasiliev K.	Tufegdzic S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
23', Sigurdsson K. 🟨,
27', Poom M. 🟨,
29', 0 - 1, Haraldsson T. ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, Sappinen R. ⚽, Poom M. (A),
42', Omarsson O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
66', Tovstik S. 🟨,
67', Haraldsson T. ↓, Heimisson L. ↑,
67', Zenjov S. ↓, Lepik M. ↑,
67', Mihhailov N. ↓, Kuraksin D. ↑,
67', Sigurdsson K. ↓, Skoglund A. ↑,
71', Sappinen R. 🟨,
76', Larusson S. ↓, Palsson J. ↑,
76', Palsson A. ↓, Kjartansson O. ↑,
79', Tovstik S. ↓, Lukka M. ↑,
82', Schram F. ↓, Agustsson S. ↑,
90+1', Heimisson L. 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 2, Jonsson J. ⚽,
90+7', Teevali T. ↓, Kalimullin M. ↑,

Preview

1st leg result: 0-3. 2nd leg.

Flora has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Valur is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Valur will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Flora won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flora Tallinn
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.07.25	Valur - Flora Tallinn	3:0 ✺
Estonian Meistriliiga
06.07.25	Flora Tallinn - Nõmme Kalju	1:0 ✺
29.06.25	Flora Tallinn - Tallinna Kalev	3:1 ✺
21.06.25	Paide LM - Flora Tallinn	2:1 ✺
18.06.25	Narva Trans - Flora Tallinn	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWLW
- Valur Reykjavik
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.07.25	Valur - Flora Tallinn	3:0 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
05.07.25	Vestri - Valur	0:2 ✺
Icelandic Cup
01.07.25	Valur - Stjarnan	3:1 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
27.06.25	KA Akureyri - Valur	2:5 ✺
23.06.25	Valur - KR Reykjavík	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
10.07.25	Valur - Flora Tallinn	3:0

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