Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 July 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Hlídarendi (Reykjavík) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Grotta M. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Estonia	23:00	Soccernet TV
Iceland	20:00	SÝN Sport, SÝN Sport Ísland


	Valur		Flora Tallinn

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.1	6.5	Watch
	1.49	4.33	5.25
	1.42	4.75	6	Watch
	1.43	4.79	5.7
				Watch
	1.5	4.33	5.5
	1.43	4.7	6.7	Watch
	1.49	4.5	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.41)	4.5 ↑ (4.2)	5.89 ↓ (6.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valur
63.7%

Draw
20.6%

Flora Tallinn
15.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64%

21.4%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

20.3%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Flora Tallinn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valur than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flora Tallinn than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.1%	20%	2.9%

Valur - Flora Tallinn Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Valur (1.89) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Flora (2.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Valur will win (26 of 32 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.73% – 94.77%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Valur will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 23 Selected Experts predict this event. Valur (votes: 19 - 82.6%). Flora (votes: 1 - 4.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 13%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Schram F. (G) 20. Omarsson O. 15. Eyjolfsson H. (C) 4. Nakkim M. 11. Larusson S. 8. Jonsson J. 2. Magnusson T. 6. Antonsson B. 12. Haraldsson T. 10. Sigurdsson K. 9. Pedersen P.	33. Grunvald E. (G) 26. Hussar K. (C) 16. Tougjas E. 23. Kolobov M. 28. Tovstik S. 13. Mihhailov N. 30. Teevali T. 10. Poom M. 17. Roivassepp G. 11. Sappinen R. 7. Kuraksin D.
Substitutes
25. Agustsson S. (G) 17. Heimisson L. 33. Hoti A. 95. Johannesson S. (G) 97. Jonsson B. 19. Kjartansson O. 30. Kjeld M. 21. Palsson A. 14. Skoglund A. 16. Stefansson S.	9. Alliku R. 21. Kaares A. 89. Kalimullin M. 2. Kalmokov N. 99. Kivila K. (G) 77. Lapa K. (G) 4. Lukka M. 5. Vaher A. 6. Veering R. 20. Zenjov S.
Coaches
Tufegdzic S.	Vasiliev K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Magnusson T. ⚽,
40', 2 - 0, Magnusson T. ⚽, Haraldsson T. (A),
45', 3 - 0, Jonsson J. ⚽, Pedersen P. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Roivassepp G. ↓, Kaares A. ↑,
68', Pedersen P. ↓, Skoglund A. ↑,
69', Antonsson B. 🟨,
71', Hussar K. 🟨,
75', Hussar K. ↓, Lukka M. ↑,
75', Kuraksin D. ↓, Zenjov S. ↑,
79', Sigurdsson K. ↓, Heimisson L. ↑,
79', Haraldsson T. ↓, Palsson A. ↑,
80', Larusson S. ↓, Palsson J. ↑,
82', Mihhailov N. ↓, Alliku R. ↑,
82', Poom M. 🟨,
90+1', Jonsson J. ↓, Hoti A. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Valur is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Flora has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Valur may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Valur is the team to beat.

We predict that Valur will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valur Reykjavik
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
05.07.25	Vestri - Valur	0:2 ✺
Icelandic Cup
01.07.25	Valur - Stjarnan	3:1 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
27.06.25	KA Akureyri - Valur	2:5 ✺
23.06.25	Valur - KR Reykjavík	6:1 ✺
Icelandic Cup
19.06.25	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Valur	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWWW
- Flora Tallinn
Estonian Meistriliiga
06.07.25	Flora Tallinn - Nõmme Kalju	1:0 ✺
29.06.25	Flora Tallinn - Tallinna Kalev	3:1 ✺
21.06.25	Paide LM - Flora Tallinn	2:1 ✺
18.06.25	Narva Trans - Flora Tallinn	1:2 ✺
15.06.25	Flora Tallinn - Paide LM	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLWL

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