Match Info

Meistriliiga - Round 32

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: A. Le Coq Arena (Tallinn)

Referee: Uprus T. (Est)

Where to Watch on TV:


Estonia	Soccernet TV


	Flora Tallinn		Tallinna Kalev

	1	X	2
	1.07	8.8	22
	1.09	9.65	20.28
	1.00	13.29	25.00	Watch
	1.14	8.08	15.2	Watch
	1.06	9.3	28
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.07 ↑ (1.06)	9.82 ↑ (9.1)	22.1 ↓ (28)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flora Tallinn
86.4%

Draw
9.4%

Tallinna Kalev
4.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

86.6%

10.1%

3.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flora Tallinn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Tallinna Kalev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Flora Tallinn - Tallinna Kalev Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Flora will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Flora (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 9.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2 - Flora (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Flora (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Kivila K. (G) 26. Hussar K. (C) 5. Vaher A. 6. Veering R. 2. Kalmokov N. 13. Mihhailov N. 32. Kreida V. 7. Kuraksin D. 10. Poom M. 29. Alamaa S. 22. Lepik M.	13. Weinstein M. (G) 6. Palutaja H. 44. Dubackic D. 45. Bamijoko A. 10. Jurisoo T. 2. Famuditimi H. 17. Smirnov R. 21. Petrunin D. 18. Mihhailov V. (C) 12. Purje A. 20. Udebuluzor M.
Substitutes
9. Alliku R. 15. Andreas D. 21. Kaares A. 89. Kalimullin M. 23. Kolobov M. 78. Kukk M. 77. Lapa K. (G) 4. Lukka M. 11. Sappinen R. 30. Teevali T. 20. Zenjov S.	4. Jallow M. 99. Lepp S. (G) 15. Ojamaa H. 50. Sambe F. 37. Sheviakov D. 22. Sotsugov D. 24. Sukunda Z. 16. Surogin A. 14. Svedovski A. 9. Usta T.
Coaches
Vasiliev K.	Barengrub A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Lepik M. (Pen),
13', 2 - 0, Kuraksin D. ⚽, Hussar K. (A),
14', Lepik M. ↓, Sappinen R. ↑,
15', 3 - 0, Sappinen R. ⚽, Poom M. (A),
34', Weinstein M. 🟨,
43', 4 - 0, Alamaa S. ⚽, Poom M. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Vaher A. ↓, Kolobov M. ↑,
46', Purje A. ↓, Sukunda Z. ↑,
46', Famuditimi H. ↓, Sotsugov D. ↑,
60', Mihhailov V. ↓, Sambe F. ↑,
60', Udebuluzor M. ↓, Usta T. ↑,
62', Poom M. ↓, Andreas D. ↑,
62', Kuraksin D. ↓, Zenjov S. ↑,
71', 5 - 0, Zenjov S. ⚽, Mihhailov N. (A),
72', Kreida V. ↓, Kaares A. ↑,
78', Petrunin D. ↓, Surogin A. ↑,
90', 6 - 0, Sappinen R. ⚽, Kaares A. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flora won 5.

In recent matches, Flora has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kalev is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Flora is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Flora won 17 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 62:12. (average 3.1:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Flora won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 31:5. (average 3.4:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flora Tallinn
Estonian Meistriliiga
04.10.25	Harju JK Laagri - Flora Tallinn	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	Nõmme Kalju - Flora Tallinn	3:1 ✺
24.09.25	Flora Tallinn - Levadia Tallinn	2:3 ✺
20.09.25	Flora Tallinn - Tammeka	2:1 ✺
17.09.25	Levadia Tallinn - Flora Tallinn	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLLWW
- Tallinna Kalev
Estonian Meistriliiga
04.10.25	Tallinna Kalev - Narva Trans	1:3 ✺
28.09.25	Levadia Tallinn - Tallinna Kalev	3:1 ✺
21.09.25	Pärnu Vaprus - Tallinna Kalev	1:0 ✺
17.09.25	Tallinna Kalev - Paide LM	0:3 ✺
14.09.25	Kuressaare - Tallinna Kalev	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Meistriliiga
30.08.25	Tallinna Kalev - Flora Tallinn	0:4
29.06.25	Flora Tallinn - Tallinna Kalev	3:1
15.03.25	Tallinna Kalev - Flora Tallinn	0:4
09.11.24	Flora Tallinn - Tallinna Kalev	5:1
29.05.24	Tallinna Kalev - Flora Tallinn	2:3
01.05.24	Tallinna Kalev - Flora Tallinn	0:3
10.03.24	Flora Tallinn - Tallinna Kalev	2:2

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