Match Info

ESTONIA: Esiliiga - Round 22

Date: 10 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Sportland Arena (Tallinn)


	Flora U21		Harju JK Laagri

	1	X	2
	4.1	4.6	1.52
	4.2	4.75	1.55	Watch
	4.01	4.42	1.6
	4.18	4.65	1.56
	4.2	4.75	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.14 ↑ (3.57)	4.63 ↑ (4)	1.56 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flora U21
22%

Draw
19.6%

Harju JK Laagri
58.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

22.7%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

24.4%

55.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flora U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Harju JK Laagri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Harju JK Laagri's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flora U21 than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harju JK Laagri than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Flora U21 - Harju JK Laagri Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rebane S. (G) 29. Alamaa S. 89. Kalimullin M. 83. Leivategija M. 80. Lukas R. 24. Pihela O. 84. Priimann R. 93. Prunn S. 71. Roivassepp G. 45. Tovstik S. (C) 18. Valdmets R.	1. Vainula J. M. (G) 14. Antonov K. A. 9. Eerme K. 4. Jarve A. (C) 3. Kaevats A. 11. Kose A. 16. Kriis K. 44. Must S. 7. Reimaa R. 23. Rudenko Daniil 20. Viira S. M.
Substitutes
87. Dyakiv A. 57. Ilves J. 75. Leppik R. 95. Piil R. 70. Randvali R. 40. Ristna S. (G) 56. Vahemets V. 68. Vahermagi J.	13. Einmann K. 87. Jose M. 45. Kangur S. 17. Kelement M. 71. Rimmel M. (G) 10. Sikk A. 26. Vali K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Lukas R. ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, Kriis K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
54', Alamaa S. 🟨,
59', 1 - 2, Kose A. ⚽,
73', 1 - 3, Eerme K. ⚽,
77', 🟨,
82', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flora U21
Estonian Esiliiga
05.08.24	Tartu Welco - Flora U21	3:5 ✺
Estonian Cup
31.07.24	Tartu Welco - Flora U21	1:3 ET ✺
Estonian Esiliiga
27.07.24	Elva - Flora U21	1:3 ✺
23.07.24	Flora U21 - Tallinna Kalev U21	1:3 ✺
20.07.24	Flora U21 - Tabasalu	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWLW
- Harju JK Laagri
Estonian Esiliiga
03.08.24	Harju JK Laagri - FC Tallinn	2:1 ✺
27.07.24	Harju JK Laagri - Tabasalu	5:1 ✺
20.07.24	Viimsi JK - Harju JK Laagri	4:4 ✺
13.07.24	Harju JK Laagri - Tallinna Kalev U21	3:3 ✺
06.07.24	Elva - Harju JK Laagri	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
30.05.24	Flora U21 - Harju JK Laagri	1:1
17.03.24	Harju JK Laagri - Flora U21	2:0
13.11.22	Flora U21 - Harju JK Laagri	3:5
18.07.22	Harju JK Laagri - Flora U21	3:4
02.05.22	Flora U21 - Harju JK Laagri	2:3
07.03.22	Harju JK Laagri - Flora U21	4:2

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