Match Info

ESTONIA: Esiliiga - Round 29

Date: 23 September 2024, Monday

Location: Laagri kunstmurustaadion (Laagri)


	Harju JK Laagri		Tallinna Kalev U21

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.6	3.4
	1.68	4.75	3.4	Watch
	1.68	4.68	3.18
	1.69	4.96	3.38
	1.22	5.8	7
	1.68	4.45	3.59
	1.68	4.75	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.15)	4.86 ↓ (7.5)	3.91 ↓ (11.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Harju JK Laagri
57.3%

Draw
19%

Tallinna Kalev U21
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

79.8%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harju JK Laagri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Harju JK Laagri's form might have worsened.

Tallinna Kalev U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tallinna Kalev U21's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Harju JK Laagri - Tallinna Kalev U21 Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Harju will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Kalev U21 will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Harju: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Rimmel M. (G) 13. Einmann K. 44. Must S. 3. Kaevats A. 14. Antonov K. A. (C) 23. Rudenko Daniil 87. Jose M. 17. Kelement M. 7. Reimaa R. 11. Kose A. 10. Sikk A.	1. Lepp S. (G) 15. Siitam M.J. 20. Pank G. 23. Tsernjakov J. 26. Sheviakov D. 17. Nigula R. 27. Sinilaid S. 3. Kajari E. 10. Jurisoo T. 9. Ilves R. 8. Laasner K. (C)
Substitutes
18. Beilmann J. 45. Kangur S. 22. Kesa M. 1. Vainula J. M. (G) 26. Vali K.	16. Kirt A. 2. Kollo A. 6. Luht S. 13. Neidla R. (G) 11. Palu R. 14. Sal-Al-Saller D. 12. Surogin A. 7. Talu R. 19. Tamme M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Jurisoo T. ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, Einmann K. ⚽,
21', 1 - 2, Laasner K. (Pen),
42', Rudenko Daniil 🟨,
44', 2 - 2, Rudenko Daniil ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', Nigula R. 🟨,
57', 3 - 2, Einmann K. ⚽,
63', Kajari E. ↓, Palu R. ↑,
63', Nigula R. ↓, Kollo A. ↑,
66', Rudenko Daniil (Pen),
69', Must S. 🟨,
72', 3 - 3, Ilves R. ⚽,
73', Antonov K. A. 🟨,
75', Ilves R. ↓, Surogin A. ↑,
75', Jurisoo T. ↓, Talu R. ↑,
79', Sinilaid S. 🟨,
80', Einmann K. ↓, Kesa M. ↑,
90+1', Jose M. 🟨,
90+5', Reimaa R. 🟨,

Preview

Harju is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Kalev U21 is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Harju could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Harju is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Harju won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Harju won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harju JK Laagri
Estonian Esiliiga
19.09.24	Harju JK Laagri - Viimsi JK	0:0 ✺
15.09.24	Paide U21 - Harju JK Laagri	0:6 ✺
31.08.24	Elva - Harju JK Laagri	2:1 ✺
24.08.24	Harju JK Laagri - Levadia Tallinn U21	4:0 ✺
21.08.24	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Harju JK Laagri	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TWLWW
- Tallinna Kalev U21
Estonian Esiliiga
14.09.24	Tartu Welco - Tallinna Kalev U21	3:0 ✺
31.08.24	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Flora U21	1:1 ✺
24.08.24	Tabasalu - Tallinna Kalev U21	1:3 ✺
21.08.24	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Harju JK Laagri	2:6 ✺
18.08.24	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Tallinna Kalev U21	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
21.08.24	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Harju JK Laagri	2:6
13.07.24	Harju JK Laagri - Tallinna Kalev U21	3:3
21.04.24	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Harju JK Laagri	1:4

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