Match Info

Esiliiga - Round 22

Date: 10 August 2026, Monday

Location: Sportland Arena (Tallinn)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Flora U21		Nõmme Kalju U21

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.47	4.75	4.40
	1.32	5.35	5.9
	1.34	5.31	5.55
	1.37	5.38	5.6
	1.34	5.1	5.35
	1.4	5.5	5.76
	1.33	5.4	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.47)	5.26 ↑ (4.64)	5.48 ↑ (4.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flora U21
66.2%

Draw
17.2%

Nõmme Kalju U21
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

19.2%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

16.8%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flora U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Flora U21's performance.

Nõmme Kalju U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flora U21 than the current prediction. (-13.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Flora U21 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nõmme Kalju U21 than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nõmme Kalju U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Flora U21 - Nõmme Kalju U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Palts J. ⚽, Paltser E. (A),
4', 2 - 0, Pihlak P. ⚽, Paltser E. (A),
9', 3 - 0, Korjus U. ⚽, Raudsalu R. (A),
42', Lorenz K. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flora U21 won 3.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Recently, Flora U21 has had a series of away games.

Recently, Nõmme Kalju U21 has had a series of home games.

In this match, Flora U21 is seen as the favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Flora U21 won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:13. (average 2.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Flora U21 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:6. (average 2.8:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Flora U21	31	15	6	10	72:53	19	51
9	Nomme Kalju U21	31	7	4	20	38:79	-41	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flora U21
Estonian Esiliiga
01.08.26	FC Tallinn - Flora U21	1:0 ✺
25.07.26	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Flora U21	0:5 ✺
Estonian Cup
22.07.26	Narva Trans - Flora U21	1:0 penalties ✺
Estonian Esiliiga
18.07.26	Flora U21 - Maardu Linnameeskond	1:3 ✺
12.07.26	Nõmme United U21 - Flora U21	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWLLT
- Nõmme Kalju U21
Estonian Esiliiga
01.08.26	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Maardu Linnameeskond	1:4 ✺
25.07.26	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Flora U21	0:5 ✺
18.07.26	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Levadia Tallinn U21	0:2 ✺
11.07.26	Viimsi JK - Nõmme Kalju U21	2:2 ✺
05.07.26	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Elva	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
25.07.26	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Flora U21	0:5
19.03.26	Flora U21 - Nõmme Kalju U21	3:1
18.09.25	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Flora U21	3:0
26.07.25	Flora U21 - Nõmme Kalju U21	1:2
19.05.25	Flora U21 - Nõmme Kalju U21	3:0
06.04.25	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Flora U21	2:1
24.09.18	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Flora U21	1:1

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