The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nõmme Kalju U21 26.1%
Draw 21.4%
Elva 52.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
18.8%
19.9%
61.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.4%
19.5%
62.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nõmme Kalju U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nõmme Kalju U21's performance.
Elva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Elva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nõmme Kalju U21 than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nõmme Kalju U21 that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elva than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Nõmme Kalju U21 - Elva Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nõmme Kalju U21 won 2.
Nõmme Kalju U21 is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Elva have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Elva could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this matchup, Elva is considered the favorite to take the win.
Our forecast points to a victory for Elva in today's match, at odds of 1.49.
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Nõmme Kalju U21 has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:19 (averaging 1:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Nõmme Kalju U21 against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 4:9 goals (averaging 0.8:1.8 per game).