Match Info

Esiliiga - Round 13

Date: 13 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Sportland Arena (Tallinn)


	Flora U21		Nõmme United U21

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.8	4.15	3.1
	1.25	5.84	5.69
	1.28	6.44	6.41
	1.84	4.2	3.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.82)	5.16 ↑ (4.15)	4.6 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flora U21
61.2%

Draw
18.3%

Nõmme United U21
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

21.5%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

20.6%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flora U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Flora U21's performance.

Nõmme United U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nõmme United U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flora U21 than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Flora U21 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nõmme United U21 than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nõmme United U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Flora U21 - Nõmme United U21 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Flora U21 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
48', 1 - 0, Kalimullin M. ⚽,
51', 2 - 0, Jakovenko A. ⚽,
80', 2 - 1, Kaspar A. ⚽,
87', 2 - 2, Kaspar A. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 3 and 4)

Flora U21 is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Nõmme United U21 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Flora U21 has had a series of home games.

Recently, Nõmme United U21 has had a series of away games.

In this match, Flora U21 is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Flora U21 will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Flora U21	31	15	6	10	72:53	19	51
7	Nomme Utd U21	31	11	6	14	50:62	-12	39

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flora U21
Estonian Esiliiga
09.05.26	Flora U21 - Viimsi JK	0:4 ✺
01.05.26	Flora U21 - Maardu Linnameeskond	5:0 ✺
23.04.26	Flora U21 - Elva	3:2 ✺
16.04.26	Tallinna Kalev - Flora U21	1:4 ✺
10.04.26	Flora U21 - FC Tallinn	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 LWWWW
- Nõmme United U21
Estonian Esiliiga
09.05.26	Maardu Linnameeskond - Nõmme United U21	2:1 ✺
01.05.26	Tallinna Kalev - Nõmme United U21	4:4 ✺
24.04.26	Nõmme United U21 - Nõmme Kalju U21	0:3 ✺
19.04.26	Elva - Nõmme United U21	1:3 ✺
12.04.26	Viimsi JK - Nõmme United U21	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 LTLWW

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