Match Info
Esiliiga - Round 6Date: 19 April 2026, SundayLocation: Nike Arena (Elva)
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Elva |
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Nõmme United U21 |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
 |
2.3 |
3.95 |
2.35 |
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2.3 |
4.28 |
2.3 |
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2.24 |
4.39 |
2.39 |
Watch |
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2.2 |
3.8 |
2.38 |
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2.28 |
4.1 |
2.32 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.26 ↑
(1.88) |
4.1 ↑
(3.93) |
2.35 ↓
(3.19) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
- The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Elva
39.7% | Draw
21.9% | Nõmme United U21
38.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Elva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Elva's form might have worsened.Nõmme United U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nõmme United U21's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elva than the current prediction. (+8.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nõmme United U21 than the current prediction. (-9.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nõmme United U21, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Elva - Nõmme United U21 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 22', 1 - 0, Haabma K. ⚽, Paju A. (A),
- 34', Laaneots D. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 48', 1 - 1, Tomingas K. ⚽,
- 72', 1 - 2, MIhelson S. ⚽,
- 84', 1 - 3, Radomskiy A. ⚽,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 4 and 3)Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.Elva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Elva could have a small edge in this match. Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 4 | Elva | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 47:48 | -1 | 51 |
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| 7 | Nomme Utd U21 | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 50:63 | -13 | 39 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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