Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 17

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Domingão (Horizonte)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Floresta		Anápolis

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	2.80	3.10
	2.14	2.80	3.45	Watch
	2.33	2.77	3.55
	2.35	2.76	3.55	Watch
	2.30	2.70	3.45
	2.36	2.75	3.56	Watch
	2.29	2.65	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.06)	2.75 ↓ (3)	3.42 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Floresta
40%

Draw
33.3%

Anápolis
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

30%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

29.9%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Floresta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Anápolis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Floresta than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anápolis than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Floresta - Anápolis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Dheimison (C) 3. Afonso 31. Buga 29. Caique 7. Danrley 23. Islan 4. Joao Victor 11. Matheus Martins 17. Nonato 15. Rafinha 20. Thalisson	12. Ravel Pelegrini (G) 30. Carioca 20. Felipe Para 11. Fernandinho 19. Fernando Viana 13. Kauan Martins 6. Leonan 7. Matheus Lagoa (C) 4. Rafael Costa 28. Samuel 2. Vitinho
Substitutes
2. Cedric 6. Diego Matos 25. Diogo Mourao 30. Eduardo 28. Guilherme Borges 1. Jeferson Souza (G) 27. Marco Antonio 10. Matheusinho 19. Matheus Lima 26. Thailor 22. Tiepo (G)	17. Danilo Regio 22. Helder 41. Joao Borim 16. Julio Cesar 18. Luiz Felipe 21. Rodriguinho 23. Victor Hugo (G) 15. Vinicius Lucas 8. Vitor Fonseca
Coaches
Leston Junior	Carlos L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Danrley ⚽,
43', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', 🟨,
57', 🟨,
76', 🟨,
80', 🟨,
85', 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 18).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Floresta will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Floresta won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Floresta EC
Brazilian Serie C
09.08.26	Ypiranga - Floresta	4:1 ✺
27.07.26	Floresta - Maringá	1:1 ✺
11.07.26	Caxias - Floresta	0:0 ✺
04.07.26	Guarani - Floresta	0:0 ✺
27.06.26	Floresta - Barra Santa Catarina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LTTTW
- Anápolis FC
Brazilian Serie C
10.08.26	Anápolis - Guarani	2:1 ✺
25.07.26	Volta Redonda - Anápolis	1:4 ✺
12.07.26	Anápolis - Maringá	0:1 ✺
05.07.26	Anápolis - Botafogo PB	0:2 ✺
30.06.26	Caxias - Anápolis	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
28.04.25	Anápolis - Floresta	0:0

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