Match Info

Serie C - Second stage - Round 1

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Domingão (Horizonte)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	SportyNet+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Floresta		Maringá

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.00	2.55	2.55
	3.3	2.58	2.32	Watch
	3.52	2.65	2.48
	3.22	2.6	2.67	Watch
	3.6	2.7	2.2
	3.46	2.73	2.42	Watch
	3.3	2.65	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (2.6)	2.64 ↓ (2.88)	2.41 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Floresta
27.3%

Draw
34.7%

Maringá
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

31.3%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

31.4%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Floresta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Floresta's form might have worsened.

Maringá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Floresta than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Floresta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maringá than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	40%	60%

Floresta - Maringá Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Maringá will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Maringá (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Dheimison (G) 29. Caique 8. Danrley 30. Eduardo 15. Eliandro 13. Garraty 23. Islan 4. Joao Victor 17. Nonato 11. Rafinha 20. Thalisson	25. Neto (G) 8. Adeilson 99. Caique Calito 7. Edison Negueba 18. Jhow Alecxander 28. Lucas Bonifacio 23. Paulinho 21. Ronald Camarao 30. Ronald Carvalho 6. Thiago Rosa 4. Wendel Lomar
Substitutes
7. Baianinho 2. Cedric 6. Diego Matos 28. Guilherme Borges 1. Jeferson Souza (G) 5. Jhony Douglas 19. Lima M. 10. Matheusinho 18. Natan Costa 26. Thailor 22. Tiepo (G) 16. Zulu	1. Affonso de Jesus G. (G) 20. Bruno Cheron 11. Danielzinho 3. Gabriel Santos 2. Gabriel Souza 9. Giovane Gomez 10. Guilherme Pira 17. Iago Santana 44. Jesiel 5. Kelvi Gomes 77. Rafinha 37. Serginho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', 0 - 1, Ronald Camarao ⚽,
52', Thalisson ↓, Baianinho ↑,
52', Danrley ↓, Natan Costa ↑,
69', Caique Calito ↓, Giovane Gomez ↑,
71', Caique ↓, Cedric ↑,
71', Eliandro ↓, Diego Matos ↑,
77', Garraty 🟨,
79', Rafinha ↓, Lima M. ↑,
81', Ronald Camarao ↓, Serginho ↑,
81', Edison Negueba ↓, Iago Santana ↑,
81', Adeilson ↓, Guilherme Pira ↑,
87', Jhow Alecxander ↓, Gabriel Souza ↑,

Preview

Floresta is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Maringá has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Floresta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Floresta won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Floresta won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Outrights of Brazilian Serie C for now

Maringa FC: 6.99%

Last Results with these Odds

Maringá - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 34.02%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Floresta EC
Brazilian Serie C
29.08.26	Floresta - Ituano	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	Volta Redonda - Floresta	1:2 ✺
16.08.26	Floresta - Anápolis	1:0 ✺
09.08.26	Ypiranga - Floresta	4:1 ✺
27.07.26	Floresta - Maringá	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWWLT
- Maringá FC
Brazilian Serie C
29.08.26	Paysandu - Maringá	0:1 ✺
23.08.26	Maringá - Barra Santa Catarina	2:1 ✺
16.08.26	Confiança - Maringá	1:1 ✺
09.08.26	Maringá - Amazonas	0:3 ✺
27.07.26	Floresta - Maringá	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
27.07.26	Floresta - Maringá	1:1
03.08.25	Maringá - Floresta	1:1

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