Match Info

Taça de Portugal - 1/32-finals

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Parque Do Bucaquinho (Esmoriz) 🌤️ ...


	Florgrade		Portimonense

	1	X	2
	5	3.9	1.5
	5.50	3.80	1.51
	5.4	3.85	1.5
	5.22	3.64	1.52
	5.4	3.89	1.54
	5.1	3.55	1.48
	6.03	3.84	1.53
	5.6	4.2	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.41 ↑ (5.24)	3.83 ↓ (4.12)	1.51 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Florgrade
16.7%

Draw
23.6%

Portimonense
59.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

17.4%

22.2%

60.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8%

19.5%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Florgrade has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Portimonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Florgrade than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Portimonense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Florgrade - Portimonense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Amorim J. 12. Azevedo Nunes Almeida J. E. 19. Ca L. 91. Fortes F. 8. Jogo T. 17. Lima L. 36. Maier M. 21. Queda G. 9. Semedo G. 7. Silva P. 2. Vieirinha	65. Wellington Santana (G) 21. da Rocha Y. 7. Djassi D. 2. Edney 80. Favero F. 4. Italo Cabelinho 6. Neves S. 8. Pancadas Casimiro J. D. 36. Thauan Lara 93. Welinton Junior 9. Yepie Yepie S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Ca L. ⚽,
34', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
80', 🟨,
87', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Portimonense carries the favorite tag into this contest.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Florgrade FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
10.10.26	Machico - Florgrade	4:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
27.09.26	Camacha - Florgrade	0:1 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
13.09.26	Florgrade - Sanjoanense	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	Camacha - Florgrade	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
30.08.26	Florgrade - São João de Ver	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LWWLT
- Portimonense SC
Portuguese Liga 2
10.10.26	Amarante - Portimonense	1:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
19.09.26	Castro Daire - Portimonense	0:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
12.09.26	Portimonense - Tondela	0:2 ✺
06.09.26	Leiria - Portimonense	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Portimonense - Leixões	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLLL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portimonense SC
Portuguese Liga 2
31.10.26	Portimonense - Torreense	✺

Florgrade - Portimonense