Match Info

Polish Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 24 September 2025, Wednesday


	Flota Świnoujście		GKS Jastrzębie

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.05	3.45
	2.04	3.09	3.44
	2.03	3.03	3.94	Watch
	2.12	3.1	3.62	Watch
	2.59	3.19	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.59)	3.09 ↓ (3.19)	3.37 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flota Świnoujście
42.4%

Draw
30%

GKS Jastrzębie
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

28%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

25.7%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flota Świnoujście has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Flota Świnoujście's performance.

GKS Jastrzębie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and GKS Jastrzębie might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flota Świnoujście than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Jastrzębie than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that GKS Jastrzębie could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Flota Świnoujście - GKS Jastrzębie Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Flota will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). GKS Jastrzębie will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Flota (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Krzysztofek D. (C) 10. Chrominski D. 19. Cybulski S. 23. Gil D. 6. Graczyk M. 5. Jandziak M. 3. Kasperowicz K. 16. Paczuk P. 9. Stasiak A. 4. Trzaskowski A. 11. Turski H.	1. Molga M. (G) 22. Baranowicz B. 23. Bykowski M. 10. Gebala P. 14. Gosciniarek K. 15. Gromek W. 11. Jakuc O. 17. Koczy K. 3. Kriegler B. 16. Mroczko S. (C) 2. Tomal J.
Substitutes
14. Dziuba R. . Hamid H. 7. Harkot P. . Kort K. 15. Nakano S. . Voloshyn . Walczak B. . Zawarski M. . Zmudz K.	5. Bednorz K. 9. Gluc 18. Kakolewski I. 25. Mozler L. 31. Neugebauer B. (G) 24. Winkler O. 13. Zielinski B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Tomal J. ↓, Zielinski B. ↑,
46', Gebala P. ↓, Kakolewski I. ↑,
51', Jakuc O. 🟨,
66', Gil D. ↓, Zmudz K. ↑,
66', Trzaskowski A. ↓, Kort K. ↑,
78', Bykowski M. ↓, Mozler L. ↑,
80', 1 - 0, Kasperowicz K. ⚽,
87', 1 - 1, Baranowicz B. ⚽,
90+1', 🟨,
Extra Time (1 - 1)
94', 1 - 2, Kakolewski I. ⚽,
100', Gromek W. ↓, Bednorz K. ↑,
104', 2 - 2, Turski H. ⚽,
Penalties (5 - 3)
1, (Pen),
1, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
5, (Pen),

Preview

Flota is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

GKS Jastrzębie is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Flota may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

We predict that Flota will win today's game, with odds of 2.64.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flota Świnoujście
Polish Division 3 - Group II
21.09.25	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Flota Świnoujście	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	Flota Świnoujście - Kluczevia Stargard	2:1 ✺
06.09.25	Elana Toruń - Flota Świnoujście	3:2 ✺
30.08.25	Flota Świnoujście - Lipno Stęszew	4:0 ✺
27.08.25	Września - Flota Świnoujście	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWLWW
- GKS 1962 Jastrzębie
Polish Division 2
20.09.25	Olimpia Grudziądz - GKS Jastrzębie	3:0 ✺
17.09.25	Hutnik - GKS Jastrzębie	3:0 ✺
13.09.25	GKS Jastrzębie - Chojniczanka Chojnice	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	GKS Jastrzębie - Warta Poznań	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Swit Skolwin - GKS Jastrzębie	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLTTL

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