Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP II - ROUND 7

Date: 9 September 2023, Saturday


	Flota Świnoujście		Swit Skolwin

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.5	1.81
	3.88	3.66	1.8	Watch
	3.5	3.5	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.71 ↓ (4.7)	3.55 ↓ (4.5)	1.82 ↑ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flota Świnoujście
24.5%

Draw
25.6%

Swit Skolwin
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.3%

20.2%

60.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.9%

19.7%

61.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flota Świnoujście has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Flota Świnoujście's performance.

Swit Skolwin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Swit Skolwin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flota Świnoujście than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Flota Świnoujście that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swit Skolwin than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Swit Skolwin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	0%	55.6%

Flota Świnoujście - Swit Skolwin Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Flota will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Swit Skolwin will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swit Skolwin: 23.1% – 88.1%.

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 3).

Recent matches Flota is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Swit Skolwin in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Swit Skolwin is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Flota won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flota Świnoujście
Polish Division 3 - Group II
01.09.23	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Flota Świnoujście	1:1 ✺
27.08.23	Flota Świnoujście - Vineta Wolin	2:0 ✺
23.08.23	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Flota Świnoujście	2:0 ✺
19.08.23	Flota Świnoujście - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	0:3 ✺
11.08.23	Stolem Gniewino - Flota Świnoujście	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 TWLLT
- Swit Skolwin
Polish Division 3 - Group II
01.09.23	Swit Skolwin - Unia Solec Kujawski	3:1 ✺
27.08.23	Elana Toruń - Swit Skolwin	0:0 ✺
23.08.23	Swit Skolwin - Luzino	3:0 ✺
19.08.23	Noteć Czarnków - Swit Skolwin	1:5 ✺
11.08.23	Swit Skolwin - Gedania Gdańsk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
18.10.20	Swit Skolwin - Flota Świnoujście	2:0

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