Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 19

Date: 1 April 2026, Wednesday


	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska		Flota Świnoujście

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.9	3.8
	1.81	4.1	3.8
	1.65	3.93	4.29	Watch
	1.75	3.5	3.75
	1.76	3.93	3.88	Watch
	1.71	3.6	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.7)	3.83 ↓ (4)	3.92 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polonia Środa Wielkopolska
52.9%

Draw
23.9%

Flota Świnoujście
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

22.3%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

20.9%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polonia Środa Wielkopolska has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Flota Świnoujście has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Środa Wielkopolska than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flota Świnoujście than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Flota Świnoujście Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Środa Wielkopolska will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 2)
5', 1 - 0, Misztal M. ⚽,
6', 1 - 1, Turski H. ⚽,
10', 2 - 1, Szczypek J. ⚽,
18', 3 - 1, Koltanski D. ⚽,
20', 3 - 2, Turski H. ⚽,
26', 4 - 2, Szymon D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', 5 - 2, ⚽,
79', 6 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Środa Wielkopolska won 1.

In recent matches, Środa Wielkopolska has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Flota's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Flota may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Środa Wielkopolska is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Środa Wielkopolska won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Środa Wielkopolska won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sroda	11	8	3	0	33:16	17	27
10	Swinoujscie	11	4	2	5	15:20	-5	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polonia Środa Wielkopolska
Polish Division 3 - Group II
28.03.26	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Cartusia Kartuzy	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Lech Poznań 2 - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	1:1 ✺
13.03.26	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Luzino	1:2 ✺
08.03.26	Elana Toruń - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	0:3 ✺
01.03.26	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Pogoń Szczecin II	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WTLWW
- Flota Świnoujście
Polish Division 3 - Group II
28.03.26	Flota Świnoujście - Elana Toruń	2:2 ✺
25.03.26	Flota Świnoujście - Noteć Czarnków	2:4 ✺
21.03.26	Lipno Stęszew - Flota Świnoujście	2:3 ✺
14.03.26	Flota Świnoujście - Września	2:1 ✺
06.03.26	Luzino - Flota Świnoujście	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
09.08.25	Flota Świnoujście - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	0:0
27.04.25	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Flota Świnoujście	3:0
28.09.24	Flota Świnoujście - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	1:1
30.03.24	Flota Świnoujście - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	3:0
01.09.23	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Flota Świnoujście	1:1
06.03.21	Flota Świnoujście - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	1:2

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