Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 33

Date: 22 May 2026, Friday


	Flota Świnoujście		Cartusia Kartuzy

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.45	3.05
	1.94	3.55	3.1
	2.06	3.52	3.08	Watch
	2.03	3.52	3.08	Watch
	1.66	3.79	3.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.66)	3.57 ↓ (3.79)	3.22 ↓ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flota Świnoujście
46.6%

Draw
25.4%

Cartusia Kartuzy
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flota Świnoujście has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Flota Świnoujście's form might have worsened.

Cartusia Kartuzy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flota Świnoujście than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Flota Świnoujście, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartusia Kartuzy than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cartusia Kartuzy, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Flota Świnoujście - Cartusia Kartuzy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
82', 🟥,
87', Sadowski H. 🟥,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 and 14).

Flota has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cartusia Kartuzy has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Flota could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flota won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Flota won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Swinoujscie	11	4	2	5	15:20	-5	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flota Świnoujście
Polish Division 3 - Group II
17.05.26	Flota Świnoujście - Pogoń Szczecin II	1:2 ✺
13.05.26	Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal - Flota Świnoujście	1:3 ✺
09.05.26	Flota Świnoujście - Wda Świecie	0:3 ✺
01.05.26	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Flota Świnoujście	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Flota Świnoujście - Unia Swarzędz	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LWLWT
- Cartusia Kartuzy
Polish Division 3 - Group II
16.05.26	Cartusia Kartuzy - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	0:1 ✺
13.05.26	Luzino - Cartusia Kartuzy	3:0 ✺
09.05.26	Cartusia Kartuzy - Lech Poznań 2	0:0 ✺
01.05.26	Kluczevia Stargard - Cartusia Kartuzy	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Cartusia Kartuzy - Lipno Stęszew	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
08.11.25	Cartusia Kartuzy - Flota Świnoujście	1:0
10.05.25	Cartusia Kartuzy - Flota Świnoujście	0:2
12.10.24	Flota Świnoujście - Cartusia Kartuzy	0:1
25.05.24	Flota Świnoujście - Cartusia Kartuzy	1:1
05.11.23	Cartusia Kartuzy - Flota Świnoujście	1:2

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