Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 30

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday


	Flota Świnoujście		Wda Świecie

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.45	3.05
	1.45	4.63	5.31	Watch
	1.46	4.3	5.44	Watch
	1.69	3.56	3.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.83)	3.99 ↑ (3.55)	4.42 ↑ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flota Świnoujście
55.9%

Draw
23.2%

Wda Świecie
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

24.9%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

25.2%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flota Świnoujście has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Flota Świnoujście's performance.

Wda Świecie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wda Świecie might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flota Świnoujście than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Flota Świnoujście that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wda Świecie than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wda Świecie could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.3%	0%	6.7%

Flota Świnoujście - Wda Świecie Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Flota (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Flota (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Flota Świnoujście will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Flota (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 3)
57', 0 - 1, Januszewski O. ⚽,
60', 0 - 2, Skupien J. ⚽,
77', 0 - 3, Kalitta M. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 8).

Recent performances by Flota have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Wda Świecie is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Flota might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Flota won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Flota won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Wda Swiecie	10	5	3	2	15:14	1	18
10	Swinoujscie	11	4	2	5	15:20	-5	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flota Świnoujście
Polish Division 3 - Group II
01.05.26	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Flota Świnoujście	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Flota Świnoujście - Unia Swarzędz	2:2 ✺
19.04.26	Lech Poznań 2 - Flota Świnoujście	3:1 ✺
11.04.26	Flota Świnoujście - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	0:2 ✺
04.04.26	Kluczevia Stargard - Flota Świnoujście	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WTLLW
- Wda Świecie
Polish Division 3 - Group II
01.05.26	Wda Świecie - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	3:2 ✺
25.04.26	Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal - Wda Świecie	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Wda Świecie - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	3:2 ✺
10.04.26	Wda Świecie - Lech Poznań 2	2:3 ✺
03.04.26	Elana Toruń - Wda Świecie	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
18.10.25	Wda Świecie - Flota Świnoujście	2:1
08.03.25	Flota Świnoujście - Wda Świecie	2:1
17.08.24	Wda Świecie - Flota Świnoujście	0:1

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