Match Info

Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 April 2025, Tuesday

Location: Maracanã (Rio de Janeiro)


	Fluminense		Aparecidense

	1	X	2
	1.14	7.5	17
	1.16	6.5	13
	1.15	6.8	18
	1.13	7.52	19.38
	1.16	6.55	18.58
	1.18	6	15
	1.14	7.3	18.5
	1.15	6.8	18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.15 ↓ (1.18)	6.87 ↑ (6.4)	17.18 ↑ (12.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fluminense
81%

Draw
13.6%

Aparecidense
5.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78.3%

14.4%

7.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Aparecidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Fluminense - Aparecidense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fabio (G) 2. Samuel Xavier 4. Ignacio 22. Freytes J. 12. Fuentes G. 8. Martinelli 16. Nonato 21. Arias J. 10. PH Ganso (C) 11. Keno 14. Cano G.	94. Matheus Alves (G) 2. David Junio 34. Wellington Carvalho 61. Lucas Rocha 38. Mario Henrique 88. Matheus Chaves 8. Allef 77. Gui Meira 7. Buba 17. Julio Cesar 11. Joao Marcos
Substitutes
5. Bernal F. 17. Canobbio A. 9. Everaldo 23. Guga 19. Lavega J. 18. Lezcano R. 45. Lima 26. Manoel 6. Rene 90. Serna K. 29. Thiago Santos 98. Vitor Eudes (G)	5. Dyego 89. Enzo 22. Ivan Martins 70. Juninho 96. Kaio Nunes 15. Lauro 95. Paulo Meneses 1. Pedro Henrique (G) 9. Renan Gorne 29. Stefano Pinho 3. Vanderley
Coaches
Renato Gaucho	Lucio F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Cano G. ↓, Everaldo ↑,
44', Mario Henrique 🟨,
45+2', Fuentes G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Martinelli ↓, Lima ↑,
57', Matheus Chaves ↓, Enzo ↑,
58', Allef ↓, Dyego ↑,
66', David Junio 🟨,
70', Lucas Rocha 🟨,
70', Julio Cesar ↓, Kaio Nunes ↑,
70', Lucas Rocha ↓, Vanderley ↑,
71', Nonato ↓, Lezcano R. ↑,
72', Fuentes G. ↓, Rene ↑,
72', PH Ganso ↓, Serna K. ↑,
82', 1 - 0, Keno ⚽, Arias J. (A),
85', Gui Meira ↓, Lauro ↑,
90+2', Wellington Carvalho 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Fluminense is playing shaky (in the last 5 games, wins - 2).

Aparecidense could have advantage in physical - more days for rest in last days.

In this match, Fluminense is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fluminense RJ
Brazilian Serie A
26.04.25	Botafogo RJ - Fluminense	2:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
23.04.25	Unión Española - Fluminense	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
20.04.25	Fluminense - Vitória Salvador	1:1 ✺
16.04.25	Corinthians - Fluminense	0:2 ✺
13.04.25	Fluminense - Santos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LTTWW
- AA Aparecidense
Brazilian Serie D
26.04.25	Aparecidense - Mixto	0:0 ✺
19.04.25	Capital CF Ltda - Aparecidense	0:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
04.03.25	Aparecidense - FC Cascavel	1:0 ✺
26.02.25	Votuporanguense - Aparecidense	2:3 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
23.02.25	Aparecidense - Atlético Goianiense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 TWWWW

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