Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 5

Date: 19 May 2026, Tuesday

Location: Maracanã (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: Matonte Cabrera A. M. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports 3
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Bolivia	ESPN 7
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol, fubo Sports Network
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 7
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Ecuador	ESPN 7
Greece	ERT Sports 2
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 3
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Paraguay	ESPN 7
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 7
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 7, Inter
World	Onefootball


	Fluminense		Bolívar

	1	X	2
	1.18	6.5	19	Watch
	1.26	5.75	10.5
	1.19	5.9	16.5	Watch
	1.18	7.13	15.22
	1.19	6.89	14.66
	1.17	6.5	15	Watch
	1.17	7.65	18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.31)	6.62 ↑ (4.9)	15.55 ↑ (9.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fluminense
79.6%

Draw
14.3%

Bolívar
6.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.3%

19.1%

9.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

14.9%

12.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fluminense's performance.

Bolívar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-24%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fluminense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolívar than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bolívar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Fluminense - Bolívar Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Fluminense will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Bolívar will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fabio (C) 23. Guga 4. Ignacio 22. Freytes J. 13. Guilherme Arana 16. Nonato 35. Hercules 17. Canobbio A. 32. Acosta L. 11. Savarino J. 9. John Kennedy	1. Lampe C. (G) 27. Gariglio I. 3. Arreaga X. 5. Echeverria S. 2. Sagredo J. 14. Robson Matheus 23. Justiniano L. (C) 80. Melgar C. A. 4. Sagredo J. 77. Romero D. 17. Pato Rodriguez
Substitutes
5. Bernal F. 14. Cano G. 19. Castillo R. 3. Jemmes 29. Millan J. 94. Otavio 10. PH Ganso 6. Rene 2. Samuel Xavier 90. Serna K. 7. Soteldo Y. 98. Vitor Eudes (G)	9. Cauteruccio M. 18. Chavez Cruz L. L. 35. Freita E. 19. Garcia J. 13. Mendez D. (G) 11. Oyola B. 8. Paz L. 26. Saavedra E. 20. Sejas C. 6. Vaca Moreno E. 15. Vedia C. 7. Velasquez J.
Coaches
Zubeldia L.	Camacho S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Acosta L. ⚽,
13', Freytes J. 🟨,
24', 1 - 1, Melgar C. A. ⚽, Romero D. (A),
31', Echeverria S. 🟨,
43', Acosta L. 🟨,
44', Guga 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Romero D. 🟨,
59', Canobbio A. ↓, Soteldo Y. ↑,
59', Nonato ↓, Castillo R. ↑,
66', Melgar C. A. ↓, Vaca Moreno E. ↑,
70', 2 - 1, John Kennedy ⚽,
71', John Kennedy ↓, Cano G. ↑,
71', Guga ↓, Samuel Xavier ↑,
74', Pato Rodriguez ↓, Chavez Cruz L. L. ↑,
76', John Kennedy 🟨,
76', Savarino J. ↓, PH Ganso ↑,
82', PH Ganso 🟨,
86', Sagredo J. ↓, Paz L. ↑,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Bolívar has had a series of away games.

In this match, Fluminense is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Fluminense: Martinelli (Hamstring Injury) Matheus Reis (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Fluminense: Acosta L. (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fluminense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Outrights of Copa Libertadores for now

Fluminense: 9.38%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fluminense RJ
Brazilian Serie A
16.05.26	Fluminense - São Paulo	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
12.05.26	Fluminense - Operário Ferroviario	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
09.05.26	Fluminense - Vitória Salvador	2:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
06.05.26	Independiente Rivadavia - Fluminense	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
03.05.26	Internacional RS - Fluminense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWTTL
- Bolívar La Paz
Bolivian Division Profesional
16.05.26	Universitario de Vinto - Bolívar	3:2 ✺
13.05.26	Bolívar - Nacional Potosí	1:1 ✺
10.05.26	Blooming - Bolívar	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
06.05.26	Deportivo La Guaira - Bolívar	1:1 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
03.05.26	GVCD San José - Bolívar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
30.04.26	Bolívar - Fluminense	2:0

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