Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 8 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Maracanã (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: Matonte Cabrera A. M. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports, Mi Telefe, Telefe
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1
Australia	beIN Sports 3
Bolivia	ESPN
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1
Ecuador	ESPN
Germany	Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+
Greece	ERT 2
Israel	Sport 4
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 3
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN
World	Pluto TV


	Fluminense		Platense

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.3	6.5	Watch
	1.60	3.40	6.75
	1.6	3.3	6.3	Watch
	1.62	3.55	7.27
	1.62	3.54	6.81
	1.63	3.4	6.65
	1.66	3.48	6.63	Watch
	1.66	3.55	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.47)	3.44 ↓ (3.92)	6.66 ↓ (8.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fluminense
58.2%

Draw
27.6%

Platense
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.2%

24.1%

11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1%

23.4%

11.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fluminense's form might have worsened.

Platense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fluminense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Platense than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Fluminense - Platense Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Fluminense will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fabio (G) 23. Guga 3. Thiago Silva (C) 29. Millan J. 6. Rene 16. Nonato 8. Martinelli 90. Serna K. 10. PH Ganso 30. Soteldo Y. 7. Hulk	30. Cozzani J. (G) 4. Lagos A. 13. Vazquez I. (C) 31. Victor Cuesta 3. Silva T. 7. Mainero G. 26. Ferreira P. 24. Barrios M. 16. Togni G. 79. Sepulveda B. 43. Retamar K.
Substitutes
32. Acosta L. 14. Cano G. 19. Castillo R. 22. Freytes J. 13. Guilherme Arana 35. Hercules 21. Igor Rabello 46. Julio Fidelis 27. Marcelo Pitaluga (G) 94. Otavio 28. Riquelme Felipe 11. Savarino J.	15. Amarfil M. 33. Gauto J. 5. Gomez I. 38. Ingenthron C. 99. Lencina G. 11. Lopez N. 21. Lotti A. 34. Mendia M. 18. Merlini B. 25. Saborido J. 22. Sumavil N. (G) 10. Zapiola F.
Coaches
Marcao	Palermo M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Nonato ⚽, Hulk (A),
31', 2 - 0, Hulk ⚽, PH Ganso (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Togni G. ↓, Merlini B. ↑,
59', Mainero G. ↓, Gauto J. ↑,
60', PH Ganso ↓, Acosta L. ↑,
67', Victor Cuesta 🟨,
77', Martinelli ↓, Hercules ↑,
77', Hulk ↓, Cano G. ↑,
77', Soteldo Y. ↓, Savarino J. ↑,
79', Savarino J. 🟨,
84', Sepulveda B. ↓, Lotti A. ↑,
84', Retamar K. ↓, Zapiola F. ↑,
90', Rene ↓, Guilherme Arana ↑,

Preview

First leg.

Fluminense has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Platense is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Platense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Fluminense is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Fluminense: Alisson (Hip Injury) Canobbio A. (Red Card) John Kennedy (Knee Injury) Matheus Reis (Knee Injury) Samuel Xavier (Shoulder Injury)

There will not play in Platense: Bobadilla H. (Inactive) Gimenez L. (Inactive) Goni G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Nasif T. (Knee Injury) Quiros S. (Inactive)

We predict that Fluminense will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Outrights of Copa Libertadores for now

Fluminense: 9.38% Platense: 0.75%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fluminense RJ
Brazilian Serie A
05.09.26	Fluminense - Vasco da Gama	1:0 ✺
30.08.26	Athletico Paranaense - Fluminense	3:3 ✺
22.08.26	Fluminense - Remo	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
18.08.26	Independiente Rivadavia - Fluminense	1:2 penalties ✺
Brazilian Serie A
15.08.26	Fluminense - Palmeiras	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WTWWW
- CA Platense
Argentinian Liga Profesional
04.09.26	Platense - Deportivo Riestra	1:1 ✺
31.08.26	Defensa y Justicia - Platense	1:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
27.08.26	Platense - Instituto Córdoba	2:1 penalties ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
23.08.26	Barracas Central - Platense	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
19.08.26	Coquimbo Unido - Platense	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 TLWWW

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