Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP C - ROUND 26

Date: 5 February 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Pino Zaccheria (Foggia) 🌤️ ...


	Foggia		Gelbison Cilento

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.5	5.25
	1.52	3.65	5.1
	1.73	2.85	4.5
	1.5	3.44	5.52
	1.47	3.5	7
	1.5	3.76	6.5	Watch
	1.49	3.75	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.75)	3.49 ↑ (2.95)	5.72 ↑ (4.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Foggia
58.5%

Draw
25.8%

Gelbison Cilento
15.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.9%

30.2%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

28.9%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Foggia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Foggia's performance.

Gelbison Cilento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Foggia than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Foggia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gelbison Cilento than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Foggia - Gelbison Cilento Predictions

Users Predictions: Foggia will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 15).

Foggia is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Gelbison Cilento is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Foggia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Foggia is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Foggia to win the game is with odds 1.54.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Foggia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Foggia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Foggia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
01.02.23	Foggia - Taranto	2:0 ✺
29.01.23	Pescara - Foggia	0:4 ✺
22.01.23	Foggia - Potenza	3:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
18.01.23	Foggia - Juventus U23	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
14.01.23	Virtus Francavilla - Foggia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWWWL
- ASD Gelbison Cilento
Italian Serie C Group C
02.02.23	Gelbison Cilento - Audace Cerignola	0:0 ✺
29.01.23	Taranto - Gelbison Cilento	0:0 ✺
21.01.23	Gelbison Cilento - Virtus Francavilla	2:0 ✺
15.01.23	Potenza - Gelbison Cilento	3:1 ✺
07.01.23	Gelbison Cilento - Avellino	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
08.10.22	Gelbison Cilento - Foggia	2:0
Italian Serie D - Group H
08.12.19	Foggia - Gelbison Cilento	3:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Foggia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
02.11.26	Casarano - Foggia	✺
- ASD Gelbison Cilento
Coppa Italia Serie D
28.10.26	Gelbison Cilento - Igea Virtus Barcellona	✺

Foggia - Gelbison Cilento